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To have a rebellion, you need…

Something that struck me while doing research into failed and successful rebellions (far more of the former, sadly) was that few rebellions appear out of nowhere.  The peasants’ revolt in England in the 1300s was a failure, largely because there was no organisation that upheld the new rights they had obtained from the King.  Slimily, the Russian revolution of 1905 was a failure, the Whiskey Rebellion in 1783ish was a failure and the constant disturbances in Saudi have achieved nothing beyond a lot of dead protestors. 

On the other hand, the American Revolution was a success, the Iranian revolution was a success and the ‘rebellious side won the British Civil War.  I asked myself, why did those revolutions succeed and the others fail?

One possible answer is that there was an existing, alternate, power structure in place before the rebellion.  The Americans had congress, although it was very ramshackle at the time, the British had parliament and the Iranians had the religious establishment.  They all played a role in channelling the power of the people against the people they believed to be oppressing them.

We could also add the US states system as making the creation of the CSA easier and the Spanish division of power between towns/nobles/monarchy as aiding the commerous revolt.  Both those revolts were failures, but they lasted longer than any revolt without a power base.

Thoughts?

Chris

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