Sadat Lives
by Eric Lipps
Author
says: what if Egyptian President Anwar Sadat had survived his 1981
assassination? muses Eric Lipps. Please note that the opinions expressed in
this post do not necessarily reflect the views of the author(s).
On October 6th 1981,
an assassination team led by army lieutenant Khalid Islambouli attacked
Egyptian president Anwar el-Sadat during the annual victory parade held in
Cairo to celebrate Operation Badr, the code name for the Egyptian military
operation to cross the Suez Canal and seize the Bar-Lev Line of Israeli
fortifications on October 6, 1973. Please click the
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The assassins, who attacked with grenades and rifles, failed to take out
their target but did manage to kill eleven others, including Vice
President Hosni Mubarak and Cuba's ambassador to Egypt.
Ringleader Islambouli was tried for treason, found guilty and executed in
April 1982. Over three hundred prominent Islamic radicals were arrested
along with him in connection with the attack, including Ayman al-Zawahiri
and Omar Abdel-Rahman, both of whom were sentenced to life in prison.
Sadat would become a mortal foe of the Islamists after his
near-assassination, pursuing them aggressively until his death from heart
failure on May 1, 1990. His harsh treatment of Islamic radicals would
further alienate Iran and other hard-line states already angry at him for
his peace overtures to Israel, and would cast a shadow over his efforts at
domestic political reform, damaging his reputation in the West.
Nonetheless, at his death he would be eulogized as "the indispensable man"
in U.S. efforts to defuse the wider Arab-Israeli conflict. It would be
Sadat, for example, who would finally persuade the Saudis to recognize
Israel in 1989.
Ironically, that achievement would have a dark sequel, when in 1993
Islamist fanatics calling themselves "Al Qaeda" attacked Riyadh, killing
Saudi king Fahd bin Abdul Aziz Al Saud and many other members of the Saudi
royal family, plunging the country into chaos and presenting U.S.
President Bill Clinton with his first major foreign-policy crisis. A
reluctant Clinton found himself forced to assemble an international
coalition to use military force to stabilize Saudi Arabia in order to keep
its oil flowing, barely two years after President George H. W.
Bush had done the same to force Iraq's dictator Saddam Hussein to end
his armed occupation of neighboring Kuwait. Al Qaeda's leader, the wealthy
Saudi-born Osama bin Laden, would be killed in the subsequent fighting and
would become a martyr in the eyes of would-be anti-American jihadis.
Author
says in our history, of course, Sadat was killed and Vice-President
Mubarak, who was only wounded in the attack, took power, remaining in office
until now as a dictatorial but mostly pro-American leader. Mubarak has shown
little enthusiasm for building upon the 1979 Camp David accords between his
country and Israel, and has been less than determined to rein in the
Islamists to whom he essentially owes his position. And in 1993, of course,
Al Qaeda launched its first attack on the World Trade Center rather than
going after the Saudi royal family. Zawahiri and Abdel-Rahman would receive
lesser sentences and go on to infamy for their roles in anti-American
terrorism. To view guest historian's comments on this post please visit the
Today in Alternate History web site.
Eric Lipps, Guest Historian of
Today in Alternate History, a Daily Updating Blog of Important Events In
History That Never Occurred Today. Follow us on
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Imagine what would be, if history had occurred a bit
differently. Who says it didn't, somewhere? These fictional news items
explore that possibility. Possibilities such as America becoming a Marxist
superpower, aliens influencing human history in the 18th century and Teddy
Roosevelt winning his 3rd term as president abound in this interesting
fictional blog.

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