© Final Sword Productions LLC 2003
all rights reserved
copying for noncommercial personal use permitted
not attempting to say that this is the most probable or indeed a very probable
TL. However, in coming up with Dark
America one of the things I kept tripping over was that without going into the
Depression years there is a problem with creating the greatest potential Yankee
Fascist Imperialist Beast. This
Beast is the post WW2 left version of the US as an aggressive fascist capitalist
imperialist entity. There was
always this giant gap between the left’s rhetoric and how relatively little
use we made of our vast power relative to the rest of the world.
We had the largest economy by far. We
had a tremendous geographical advantage – WW2 was going to be fought on other
peoples lands, devastating them. Also
while we had some 40% of the world’s industrial strength, the other 60% was
not allied against us.
simply wasn’t going to get us there. He
was a 19th century Hudson Valley patrician, not a 20th
century blood drenched demagogue. So Franklin had to go.
The easiest way consistent with this being a populist imperialist state
as opposed to a complete dictatorship would be to have the Gunpowder Plot come
off. The Gunpowder Plot in OTL was
a half-assed attempt by the corporate plutocracy centered on the Dupont
corporation groupings to use a Marine general to overthrow the New Deal.
It was so nebulous that some writers question whether it was real.
problem, Garner was hopeless as the American Fuhrer.
Man was a Texas Tory with populist tinges.
Plus no Southerner was going to wield that kind of power in the 30’s.
Our Civil War hang-ups still ran WAY too deep. (I am old enough to
remember Carter’s accent winning votes for Gerry Ford in ’76.
We are all old enough to remember the Clinton Era with Arkansas =
so we have to have a Cabinet member succeed FDR.
Possible in terms of coup and civil war.
So I did a Trumanesque figure out of the American prairie populist and
progressive ilk but with a militarist and imperialist side.
He is the first alien space bat as you have to presume he hid his foreign
policy views. Then again, a
Colorado state politician out of the business community and aiming at the
governors chair wouldn’t be expected to have many public views on foreign and
charismatic Chicana wife is Eva Peron, a few ex-lady friends, a few other
people, mostly dead or fictional. Yes,
I recognize the political handicap in America in the early 30’s.
You just have to accept alien space bats or that he’s a hell of a
politician or make him from New Mexico(which has its own believability
problems). (or make her some other
ethnicity – I must admit that this one is largely personal whimsy and not
necessary to the story – my old friend Ron will recognize some of the
exgirlfriends subsumed here – Stirling fans will recognize pieces of Suzette
Whitehead – you’ll both be right – I have this thing for Kali avatars
(destructive chaotics with severe personality integration problems and let us
politely say extremely sociopathic tendencies – they are the only human in a
Phil Dickian world of automatons) and…).
Now why the Depression changes? Consider this – the US finished WW2 as the only superpower but no one quite realized it. It took us so long to mobilize that we were still deploying as the war ended. Ike’s last division (13th Airborne) got something like 3 days front line service. The 98th Infantry Division in the Pacific never got into action before Japan surrendered. TORCH had a British Army and an American Corps up front. As of Normandy Ike had more Empire than US divisions available. For the US to be the player it could have been you need the 44-45 mobilized forces for the key European years 40-42.
In OTL we start naval rearmament in 1938, with the big building program getting going in 1940 (2 Ocean Navy Bill). We have to interrupt the program twice for the Battle of the Atlantic – transports and escorts – and once for a priority on LST’s. However by the end of 1943 we are launching the battlefleet (Essex class, etc. ) that won the war and canceling naval contracts wholesale to avoid overbuilding. So the deployment time on big ships is 3-4 years till you start seeing massive results – with small ships and baby carriers available en masse in two years. With the building program starting in 1934 for little auxils and 1936 massively for everything else, the main battle fleet, the horde of ASW, the massive amphib capacity, a giant merchant marine, and enough escorts to win the battles of the convoys all arrive late 38 to early 1940. Essentially for naval war 1939 is 1943 of OTL and 1940 is 1944. After 1940 we essentially rule the worlds oceans with a sea and land based naval air arm to match.
and Marines in OTL get going with the reserve call-up and the Selective Service
Bill after the Fall of France (6/40). By
the time of Pearl Harbor we have maybe 12-15 deployable divisions (essentially
what we fought Guadalcanal, Paupa New Guinea and Torch with).
Then 18 months more gets you to 15 more and then we rise rapidly to our
90 + 6 [USMC]. Rapidly means
another 18 months. Pipeline was dry
by 1945. Essentially there were
only three waves, in part because delays in the naval situation in both oceans
backed up divisions stateside for over a year so no new ones were formed [we ran
out of base camps to put them in], in part from a very stupid set of manpower
decisions and policies, in part from limitations on our manpower base.
do we start earlier without imagining a different nation with our resources?
We are not going to create a military to intervene in Europe.
The concept was wildly unpopular. Fighting
the Japanese was another story. Our
elite really wasn’t that interested, but if you work with the China Lobby plus
an extremely powerful racism, you can get the American people worked up against
the Asian Menace. We’ve been
obsessed with that one since before WW1. Asiatic
Exclusion Leagues were a common political feature in most Pacific and Mountain
states cities post Civil War – you even see a sign for one in one of the two
relatively recent Wyatt Earp movies – the one with Val Kilmer as Doc Holliday.
So in this TL you can start the war with two dozen deployable divisions (somewhat bigger peacetime military plus a few very good guard divisions) plus real Pacific garrisons and a good training establishment. The Guard and Reserve should be ready faster as we are more prepared and do not have to share production with the Brits. However the really big armies are still going to take 24-36 months. However that means we have the war winning armies of the last year by mid 1940 and are beyond our real OTL limits by the end of 1941. We also will field an Army with more teeth up front than OTL as there will not be the constant worry about where to find ground forces replacements. We will also send replacements by whole trained companies instead of the chaos of individual replacement.
As in Dark America we are going to have to deal with the manpower crisis.
We do so here in a much more extreme way with more extreme social and
– FDR + Garner elected as per OTL – in other words no changes in anything
except Colorado has a different Governor with a very powerful Mrs. – an ex-GOP
Progressive who stumped the Mountain and Plains States to help bring them in for
FDR – that’s why Colorado, it being the only state that can make a good
sociocultural case for being in both camps.
As a regional power boss he’s entitled to a Cabinet Post (Agriculture),
gets the AAA put under him, and gets a Congressional mandate to bring farm
prices up by any means expedient (the first of many ‘blank cheque’ laws),
which he does by using the power of the purse to put a floor on prices,
converting the surplus into canned rations, giveaways for WPA workers and the
urban bread lines plus overseas swaps – bread for Guatemala and bananas for
the giveaways and rations – populist farmer protection plus progressive using
of the market with heavy regulation and production for use plus Italian fascist
/ Catholic corporatism [in other words he is as ideologically eclectic as FDR
was but more open about it – neither he nor the Mrs [they come as a team] care
much about ideas per se – they are typically American pragmatists – their
difference is in being willing to take advisers outside the box and having even
fewer scruples than many two fisted selfmade types] – makes a ton of friends
among the small towns of America. Also
tailors programs for family farmers, not big agribusiness and plantations.
Begin rural electrification, town development funds for dieing farm
towns, and rural highway building via a rural WPA.
It’s a team effort. He has
tame intellectuals for the ideas. He’s
the traveling dealmaker and troubleshooter.
She’s administration, politics and personnel.
They build an ultraloyal cadre of opportunist apparatcheks.
They also make enemies in the boardrooms.
Makes bigger enemies down South by end running the color bar.
Miz Terri does not take well to Dixie slurs on her complexion (or
whispers about possible Jew blood in his ancestry).
They survive two botched Klan hits before the coup – given their own
Secret Service protection by FDR when J Edgar claims its not his problem. Secret
Service gets used to working with their own ‘privately paid for’(by a PAC
she administers with very heavy contributions from every interest that benefits
by his policies – the Evita like charitable trust (The American Dream
Foundation) will come later, after they’ve assumed the Presidency). FDR is
considering dropping him for Henry Wallace but hasn’t finessed the politics
when the coup comes. FDR played
subordinates against each other to keep all power in his lap.
He detested subordinates who successfully worked around him to build
empires with their own political bases.
– In OTL there was a plot by the economic royalists (ultra rich) who thought
FDR was going to destroy the American capitalist republic and bring some form of
European collectivism in via the New Deal.
FDR had been elected running economically to the right of Hoover,
promising to balance the budget and put in a national sales tax.
He probably couldn’t have been elected by claiming he was going to go
statist with a New Deal. Whether
the New Deal lurch to the left was his plan all along or the market and banking
collapses of 32-33 triggered this swing died with him at Warm Springs in 1945
– FDR was notorious for telling contradictory things to different people.
It was one of his political tools to keep a broad coalition with all
power in his own hands. The coup
plotters were financed mostly by the DuPonts but there were many other backers
among the elite. They picked the
wrong man to lead it – a retired Marine General named Smedley Butler.
He went public and sunk the thing.
presume that Butler was the ambitious little populist toad the plotters thought
he was or that he was buyable. He
was popular among the more right wing factions of the American Legion.
So presume an ‘army’ of some 200,000 American legionaires, labor
goons, professional strike breakers from people like Pinkerton, and reactionary
fools is mobilized. Small arms of
all types, machine guns, some armored cars (real and makeshift), a few ancient
artillery pieces, very little command structure and cash in lieu of supply
chooses not to pass along what he picks up.
FDR gets bits and pieces but simply cannot believe his fellow patricians
can actually be that stupid. So
in this TL the Gunpowder Plot comes off as Wet Firecracker (or Four Months)
Rebellion – coup kills FDR, Garner and all of Cabinet except Sec of
Agriculture (whom we will make a Mr. Secretary Janus Longstreet, a Harry S
Truman near clone, former governor of Colorado – Progressive Republican
convert to FDR Demo – combat engineer to Truman’s artillery in WWI (DSC at
Belleau Woods in support of the Marines, Silver Star in the Argonne),
Mexican-American RC wife (Miz Teresa / Miz Terri))
on Washington to ‘save Democracy’. The
guns go by separate trucks and are distributed to the core people at their last
encampment before DC. Local and
Maryland State cops are mostly in on it and the rest are bought.
forces storm the White House –FDR dies after refusing to surrender.
Eleanor is traveling and safe in Red Manhattan.
Coup basically takes the major cities of the Rust Belt but is put down
outside there with scenes out of Madrid and Barcelona in ’36.
Class war can be a bitch when you lose.
forts up in the bureau HQ, cutting his own phone lines to dodge responsibility.
Miz Terri knew it was coming and has mobilized her own ‘guards’ (read
as personal loyalist thugs – the first of many such – think Uncle Huey’s
Louisiana only someone with the Federal Treasury for patronage and even fewer
scruples) to supplement the Secret Service.
Longstreet gets the Marines from the K Street Barracks, arms volunteers
from the DC government workers, many of them black (he’s packed his department
with temporary employees who are his personal loyalists), and counterattacks to
retake the White House. He shoots
Butler with his own hand while Terri works the phones rounding up loyal units.
senior Army officers do not answer the phone – the exceptions are Marshall’s
clique – himself, Eisenhower, Bradley, Patton, Stillwell, etc.
Marshall’s military rolodex and her political one line up key support
in the first 72 hours. Essentially
the bad guys get nowhere outside the Rust Belt – a mixture of National Guards,
a few Army boys and home guards with deer rifles finish them off.
Much settling of local scores.
on the spot after the retaking of the White House, brings out his men on the
loyalist side for the rest of the Battle of Washington.
Arranges to have killed ‘resisting arrest’ his direct contact links
with the coup plotters. Miz T faces
him down and gets access / copies of his legendary files.
A gunpoint state dinner with Hoover and his boyfriend hostage while a
military + ‘volunteer’ (remember her private guards – they are about to
become the Executive Protection Service of the US Marshals) raiding force led by
a Major Eisenhower takes FBI HQ followed by an elite crew of file clerks and
court stenographers (more of Miz Terri’s people – black government workers
terrified of their fate in the coup plotters’ America).
Hoover will not be given the opportunity for another turn of his coat.
and USMC ultra loyal – small detachments of local Marine auxils from Carib
active (Pan Am airlifts Marine trained locals from DR, Haiti, Panama, Cuba, PR,
Nicaragua) – back of the revolt basically broken in first week, balance is
spent negotiating the rebels out from their hostages in Philly, Wilmington –
DC – Balto – Wheeling –Chicago – Detroit – Buffalo combined area plus
scattered pockets. End result 100K
dead (mostly collateral damage civilians and settling of local scores) – 200K
+ dependents allowed to leave ‘no questions asked’ (2 hand lifted and
carried bags and cash in wallet). Armed
loyalist guards riding the tops of sealed RR cars taking the exiles to the
designated embarkation ports where the USN will ferry them to exile.
Exiles go to Latin America and Europe, with Dupont, Imp Chem and IG
Farbin smoothing the way. Another
100K stripped of positions as police, army officers, corporate officials, etc.
(half will choose exile in next three years).
This is the start of a permanent internal security bureaucracy. FBI, Secret Service, EPS, military intelligence, the DNC under Mis Terri’s careful watch, Marshal’s Service – everyone’s keeping files on who jumped which way. Several major Dixie prisons seized for hardcore prisoners. The corp rats and country club types will wind up as bitches for the Klansmen. The rest are put behind wire out in the Mohave. National ID’s (your papers please) begun – this will take a generation to be fully effective as most Americans really have no paper trail in the modern sense.
major companies nationalized starting with Dupont (note: not all shares taken,
just those owned / controlled by ‘losers’) .
End result is a statist New Deal more along the lines of Italy’s IRI /
a more extreme version of the actual NRA without it being gutted by Congress and
the USSC. Major Federal financial
investment in transport, roads, infrastructure of every type.
(This is to create jobs and specifically as regional development – one
of our mid century problems was a post USCW US in which the rest of the country
was essentially an economic colony of the Mid West and East) .
No $ for arts or makework. Major
reforestation / Youth Corps to save Dust Bowl.
Think the Nazi National Labor Service more than the WPA – this is all
somewhat militarized. Expansions of
park lands and national battlefields. Universities
and military bases get overhauls and expansions (see under race relations below
for how this plays down South). Virtually
any port, airfield, rail, road, canal project gets funded. This is especially
true if it improves communication with the Pacific Coast or improves port
structure on Pacific Coast (this is being sold as regional development but will
have military repercussions). Major
$ for science, basic and applied. In
essence the Federal government is both a basic science incubator and a venture
Forced industrial investment. Corporations told where to invest and given Federal funds (via federal purchase of shares, bonds, formation of jointly owned subsidiaries and partnerships – in effect all the tricks of the post 1940 period start six years earlier but used for capacity expansion and modernization – as compared to OTL we will be an even bigger power but even more overweighted towards big industry for government contract and capital goods and away from consumer goods). New investment is made profitable by government contracts for rail modernization, urban transit systems, public housing based on manufactured units, regional development and of course the military).
built up to treaty limits (the US had not built up to then limits of the 1922
Washington Treaties; FDR had vetoed some naval construction in OTL – here the
President is building on the presumption that Japan will denounce the naval arms
limits in 1936. He’s setting us
up for a breakout building binge). Auxils,
fleet train and naval air built beyond any balance to treaty limits.
Essentially the Navy is expanding as fast as it can get ships and find
men. Navy allowed to accept
nonresident foreign volunteers whenever it’s short of quota.
Color bar finessed by creating a few mix race auxils first, with combat
ships coming later as nonwhite cadre is trained.
Precedents are being set…
and MC expanded (500K= 385 Army + 115 USMC, this is a somewhat bigger Army and a
vastly bigger Marine Corps – see who did and didn’t respond during the coup)
but given first class equipment by mid 30’s standards.
The 1939-40 prepping of the ground forces in OTL begins right off the
failed coup. Means we will have a
bit more outmoded equipment. Also
means we are starting the learning curve 6 years early.
Major uplift of Guard and Reserves after initial purges.
Army forced to take in volunteer units from winning side of Wet
Firecracker War wholesale including noncredentialled officers, US equivalent of
Frei Corps from our little civil war only these lower class, vaguely leftist
types (populists, trade unionists, New Dealers instead of right, racist nihilist
as in Germany – this will be the start of a cadre of hard charging junior
officers loyal only to Longstreet directly and promoted by Presidential
directive outside normal promotion boards – for now it’s a protection
against an officer corps he doesn’t trust – with the war it will become
something else altogether)(Organization names include Lincoln Rifles and USCT
etc.) Macarthur sent as Philippine
Field Marshal in 1934 to create the Philippine Army of our 1942 by 1936.
Also US military get political commissars – nominally ‘troop welfare
officers’, in practice they are Miz Terri’s eyes and ears – they do not
have the command authority of the Soviet variety but do have separate reporting
ability and immunity from command discipline.
The military also gets a massive counter-intellience branch.
Both of these are nominally to prevent another coup.
Practically they are a third officer cadre – hers as opposed to his and
US Empire rebuilt – Nicaragua, El Salvador, Honduras, Panama, DR, Haiti,
Liberia, Cuba. Major dollars for
infrastructure in the Empire. They
are brought into US economy in a major way – branch plants for US corps,
airfields, ports, roads, railroads, schools.
Local police and military on the US direct payroll [literally direct –
US paymasters so zero chance of theft although patronage still possible].
Imperial expansion also used as a jobs program for educated blacks – we
break the color bar on a massive scale down south in the Carib, Liberia,
Pacific. Note: this eases the
pressures in Dixie by draining off the most talented and most ambitious blacks
to government service, often abroad.
yes, and mixed into this imperial development cum jobs project is one absolutely
off the wall idea – pushed through by sheer presidential stubbornness.
To safeguard our China Trade (such as it is at the height of the
Depression) from the increasingly frosty Sino-Japanese relations, we buy a
license from the Brits to build a modern railway from Karachi, through Sind,
Punjab, Kashmir, Ladak and Tibet and on out the other end to Chunking in
Szechuan (local warlord franchise for the last section).
There will also be a four lane all weather companion highway and
(ultimately) a pipeline. This is a
political absurdity but no more so than many Depression era make work projects.
The actual idea is part of the anti-Japanese preparation.
This will be a topic of endless political fights but has a key part in
the later story – the railroad to the roof of the world as it were.
It also excites MAJOR Japanese and KMT paranoia.
The Brits just think we’re nuts. The
construction is run from a large extraterritorial chunk we lease labled the
Karachi Base Area.
$ into air and rocket research and major series production, especially on
long-range transport, recon, and ASW. The heavy bomber frames are funded but
little interest in strategic bombardment at this time.
The B-17 is funded as a long range recon and antisub platform rather than
as pursuit of the fantasy of victory through bombing cities.
Major land based Navy and Marine Air arms to insure proper training and
coordination to protect and cooperate with moving ships.
Massive pilot and tech training – in other words the national security
state of OTL’s revisionist Left’s nightmares starts in 1934 instead of 1941.
We also start building and training on the special amphibious ships.
Navy could buy into ‘preparedness’ against their major enemy – War Plan
Orange and all that. They had more
trouble with being told to scrap Orange and plan a variant – enough of a
garrison to contest the Philippines and an approach to the South of the Mandated
Territories. They were told to plan
on the Japanese denouncing the naval Treaties in 1936.
War was expected anytime starting twelve months
thereafter. State Department
was told to start prep work for an alliance with Australia and New Zealand
including basing and transit rights. War
Department was told to revise the Bataan Redoubt to cover Metro Manila and
Cavite as well. Main Asiatic fleet
base was shifted from Suibic to Davo, which was fortified as a second redoubt.
A third was to be built in the mountains of North Luzon.
policy: FDR’s FDIC in effect rebuilt the barn after the fire but did nothing
to restore personal and small business savings destroyed by the rolling bank
crisis 1929-33. Longstreet handles
that by retroactive bank nationalizations to restore destroyed personal and
small business savings. You get back up to $20K of lost funds.
Traditionalists are in an uproar. Populace
is widely accepting. It is his
first major political crisis. The
response is indicitive of what is to come.
The vote buying in Congress is out of Georgian England.
Court rulings against the legislation as simply ignored – think Andy
Jackson and the Trail of Tears.
OTL FDR’s New Deal was largely gutted by adverse court decisions and the rise
of a conservative coalition in the House. We
are dealing with people here who will overthrow the Republic to advance
themselves. FDR would play hardball
but ultimately was a man of his class and times, not a revolutionary.
a mixture of impeachment (2 USSC justices and 30 lesser federal judges in
total), court packing, Hoover’s black files, and an amendment in effect
mandating Baker v Carr but with reapportionment done by a DC commission backed
by Miz T tilt the scale 34-35. It
is a coup d’etat by constitutional means.
Courts packed. Fed packed
– new debt funded at need. Permanent
manipulated House majority by partial restoring of black vote – voters on US
bases now can vote, so blacks on bases given work and protected from KKK -
plus government indirect funding of New Dealers in Dixie and Progressives
in Republican areas (giant state and semi-state sector generates many private
groups dependent on administrative fiat for their livelihood – they in turn
kick back contributions to the proper candidates – think Italy in the First
to make the above chronology clear: FDR’s
initial New Deal was a series of ad hoc measures.
This is a conscious plan along American progressive / Italian Fascist
lines. There is an economy to
revive, a dead cat agricultural sector, massive unemployment.
A government that didn’t give a rat’s ass about inflation, economic
orthodoxy or what the established opinion makers thought could do great things
and win great loyalty. Think a
combination of Hitler’s economic boom with the politics of Huey’s Long’s
Louisiana mixed with those of Peron’s Argentina.
There are opposition parties and theoretical freedom but there are
political police and informers, accepted as an anti-coup measure.
Essentially the bulk of the Democrats and many Republicans are accepting
the economic and social results, while ignoring the blatant loss of liberty and
unconstitutional nature of the whole show.
The elections post 1934 are nominally free.
Miz Terri pulls the strings with media and patronage.
Longstreet has FDR’s secular god status with Lloyd George’s political
policy is one area of immediate change. Jim
Crow is NOT attacked head on. However
WPA jobs are provided for black companies with all black work forces on the
expanded Federal military bases and in the Empire.
On base it is the equal part of separate but equal.
Real education. Voter
registration by Federal officials with Congress refusing to seat the delegations
of states that will not count the votes. In
effect black ghettos are created on US land but as a step up, not down.
Also the Federal police forces are used to enforce basic civil rights
(like not being lynched). Legal
segregation is not threatened. No
attempt is made to enforce separate but equal with any equality off Federal
land. However the Federal police
and courts do fight the abuses of the system, especially as involve the use of
criminal and civil proceedings to enforce subordination.
They also actually put extreme Kluxers in Federal detention along with
other ‘traitors’ (habeus corpus was suspended during the coup as an
‘emergency’ measure only the ‘emergency’ will never end).
There is also a patronage soaked system whereby prisoners with
politically loyal friends or relatives are bought out of Dixie jails and sent
into the Empire on ‘work release’, think of it as an exile’s Gulag but who
wouldn’t rather be doing construction work in North Luzon or Tibet compared to
being a convict in 30’s Dixie.
Part of this is genuine belief (that’s the Truman piece of Longstreet). Part of it is Mis Terri’s pique. Most of it is very excellent social, economic and political analysis. What to do with Dixie had been one of the great unsolved problems of America. Secession was not allowed. Radical reconstruction died in the Congress’s fights with Andy Johnson. Grant wasn’t a radical and neither were the Presidents who followed him. Grant basically let the Southern Republicans die a death by violence and fraud rather than convert the US Army into permanent Republican poll watchers. Hayes completed the process when he conceded the last states (Louisiana, Florida and South Carolina) in 1876. The South stayed backward as the price of keeping the black man down. Yet it could not let up on the race issue without having white control voted out of existence up and down the black belts. The long-term trick was to find a palatable way to raise the educational and skill level of the blacks while reducing their number so that they lost their majorities in much of the South. The solution here was a federal and imperial mixture – blacks were made into federal workers and shuffled onto bases and overseas. Southern discontent was partially alleviated by populist socioeconomics and a frankly regionalist development policy.
– As soon as Japan denounces naval treaties, US Congress votes 2 Ocean Navy (
a navy bigger than Japan and Brit Empire in Pacific plus bigger than all of
Europe in Atlantic). Additional ASW,
baby carriers, Amphib, and massive militarized Merchant Marine.
PT / MTB / SS Fleet for Asiatic waters.
Later neutrality acts never passed. Prior ones made voidable subject to
90 day Congressional counter-veto. Government
seen as America First but in an armed sense.
Giant Navy, AF (a workable version of FDR’s 100K plane AF) – lighter
than air kept and expanded – very moderate ground forces with no push for
expeditionary forces to fight Europe’s wars.
However Guard, Reserve, ROTC, State Guard cadres allowed to take 6 to 24
month regular service advance training courses – this is a jobs program and a
focus on state – state blocked accounts, not tarrifs.
Longstreet end runs Smoot – Hawley by in effect monetized barter.
Now all of these changes convert the Depression into a mild but labor intensive boom. Standard of living still below late 20’s peak but unemployment heading for zero (think Hitler’s Germany in the late 30’s where the same combination of massive public works, rearmament sweeping up men into uniform and war production produced a labor shortage). This is handled in several ways – allowing favored nations to use up unused immigration quota from prior years, some labor mobility from the new Empire, a host of private immigration bills for family reunificiation. Family reunification provides yet another form of patronage for the Democratic urban machines. Your ward boss has to co-sign your request to bring in Cousin Giovanni…Also Presidential exemptions made for skills – scientists, technicians, special skills [German refugees who can help us duplicate their advanced optics for example].
This is turn presents the beginnings of a labor shortage in the Empire. This is handled by using the oncoming world crisis as a population gathering system. The test cases are the persecuted Iraqi Christians and Austrian Social Democrats from their mini civil war of 1934. By 1936 they have gathered in the Jews of Poland, the Baltic States, and Rumania plus many Arab Christians, Armenians, White Russians, and European political refugees. Those with key tech or scientific skills get exceptional leave to enter the CONUS. For the rest,
extra people are swept into Empire and the Base Area on special external only
passports (what the Brits did to the East African expats in OTL)– all rights
of US green card holder except right of entry to lower 48.
Oh yes, they are also liable to US taxes and conscription.
and Alaskan statehood. Fortification
of Dutch Harbor, Wake, Midway, Oahu, Davo, Suibic, Bataan, Manila, N Luzon
redoubt – ammo, food, basic kit.
1936 election is both less and more of a rout than historical.
FDR in OTL took 46 out of 48 states.
Here the Republicans will take 5 out of 6 New England states plus
California while a States Rights Democratic candidate will take 5 deep Dixie
states. However, the wipeout in
Congress and on the local levels is worse.
Loyalists (democratic and progressive) have 70 –80% majorities in both
houses of Congress and the legislatures of 35 states.
Every major city except NYC is in loyalist hands.
This is both a dictatorship and a popular democracy.
The elections aren’t free but would loyalist newspapers and radio
stations where ever they cannot buy or intimidate the existing media.
The propaganda machine is a mixture of Goebells, Madison Avenue and Walt
party structure is more postwar OTL than 30’s.
Mrs. Roosevelt and Wallace lead the Popular Front – FDR loyalists, the
Socialist party, the US CP, the left wing of the CIO, and those radicals who
either value liberty or wish for a real revolution.
It’s a big city bicoastal party with too many Jews and Reds to ever
really threaten nationally. However,
it provides a convenient way for Unity to avoid being successfully Red baited.
Republicans lose their whole Progressive wing and gain a few Dixie Tories and Al
Smith conservative Democrats. They
have pockets of local strength but beyond the Republican name they are double
dammed with the coup (they didn’t support it but represent the class that
verbally thought it was a good idea at the time) and Herbert Hoover’s economic
record. They are also overloaded
with aging pols clinging to the old verities, each with their own small, aging
following. They are mostly loyal on
foreign policy but ardently oppositional on domestic issues.
reverse the States Rights Democrats have shed their extreme Tories to the
Republicans. They are broadly
supported of the nonracial aspects of domestic policy, but rabidly white
supremacist and isolationist. They
will increasingly flirt with Nazi ideology, especially in trying to crack into
pockets of German and Scandinavian voters in the MidWest.
It also means the white prison gangs get to lead group singing of the
Horst Wessel Lied as well as Dixie and I’m a Good Old Rebel as the political
prisoners are led down that Green Mile at Angola State Correctional (now under
Federal control) to Old Sparky.
another sidelight, when the Popular Front sends the Lincoln and Washington
brigades to fight in Spain, Longstreet will quietly arrange leave for several
hundred sympathetic Army and Marine officers to volunteer (not all the
sympathizers will really be politicals – some hard chargers will be told that
there will be promotion for gaining combat experience – imagine Major General
Patton leading the American International Volunteer Division to stop Franco
before Madrid in 1936 – also a few Jose Marti air squadrons to see how P40’s
stack up against German and Italian planes).
He will also arrange for Popular Front sympathizers to divert some
weapons production to Republican Spain via Mexico – field testing anyone?
to war: The US is not specifically
seeking war. It is more a matter of
both expecting one and finding a visible foreign enemy convenient to its
political and economic program. We
are quite open about creating an anti-Japanese military and alliance structure.
We have a semi-functional supply line rapidly approaching Chunking –
the first train will arrive on New Years Day 1938.
Cheneault’s Flying Tigers plus two fronts – Flying Tiger Airlines and
Air Cathay – are already being organized by early 1937, with training
facilities at Karachi and Lhasa. We have ‘understandings’ with Australia,
New Zealand, Canada, Portugal, Brazil and Holland.
The Brits are sympathetic but unwilling to commit in view of the
situation in Europe. The French are
frankly unsympathetic. Chiang is
confused. We seem to be supporting
him irrespective of his policies. He
is correct but does not see context.
public has been prepped with racist slanted news that keeps implying that war
with Japan is probable and inevitable. The
good government pacifists (our traditional moralists, idealists and legalists)
are split between those who agree with much of the domestic program (and thus
find it hard to go oppositional) and those already marginalized in the
Republicans and Popular Front. Split
into three warring camps, their influence is much less than OTL.
November 37 – Panay Incident. As in OTL unprovoked deliberate attack on US gunboat and several Standard oil tankers it is guarding in Yangtse River above Nanking. In OTL FDR soothed the situation. Longstreet and Terri use the movie footage of the Japanese straffing men in the water around a sinking ship with a giant US flag the way Lincoln used Ft. Sumpter. An explosion of racial hatred and xenophobia follows. US mobilizes. Fleet to Pearl. Strip Atlantic Fleet for Pacific. In this TL we actually have the beginnings of a 2 Ocean Navy which we did not in OTL’s 1937-38. Evacuate Americans and garrisons and local Christians from Far East. Our China squadron and garrisons sail for Manila. Our concessions are leased out to the Spanish. Our river squadron retreats with Chiang. Institute selective service. Freeze trade and Japanese assets but do not penalize Dutch and Brits for refusing to do so. We basically do everything except declare war. It’s a narrow line so that we appear defensive to the American public and aggressive to the Japanese. However the PR offensive is obvious and continuous.
December 37 - ANZUS Pact. US – Brazilian alliance. NORAD Pact with Canada. Japanese apology is more halfhearted than in OTL and basically ignored by both sides. US actively whips up public flames with movie news shots of Japanese planes sinking Panay and strafing survivors. Major administration figures tour key cities making ‘patriotic’ speeches. Nonessential civilian evacuation of Philippines, Guam, Aleutians. Tests reveal US torpedo defects.
industrial mobilization including conscription for war production over teeth of
AFL-CIO. Start of feud with John L
Lewis and UMW. We rush small
garrisons to key sites in Australian Oceania – Rabal, Guadalcanal, Pt. Mosby,
etc. Japanese freak out.
Chiang screams defiance but keeps retreating.
7th, 1938 – day that will live in Infamy – Battleship row as in
OTL (except that there are torpedo nets so Arizona is the only torpedo hit
making the repairs easier) but far higher Japanese casualties from larger US air
contingent and some sanity in US command – fleet AAA is manned and ready, base
is on alert from first sub contact– no question of 3rd strike (also
2 fewer Japanese carriers so fewer Japanese planes available and higher loss
rate per carrier). Congress
basically hands White House blank check – full control of economy, military,
equivalent of DORA, creation of OTL’s postWWII alphabet soup – this is a
militarized national security state ruling by decree subject to postfacto
Congressional review. Congress
cracks down on abuses and graft, makes sure the boodle / bounty gets spread
around but basically concentrates on shielding favoring individuals and groups
from the administrative state. Compared
to OTL administrative discretion is vast. In
OTL the trend has been towards a legalized rights based culture.
The secondary political actors (state and local bosses), churches, party
leaders, unions, ethnic associations in this TL retain their power.
Think Daley’s Chicago on a vast scale.
There is basically no legal appeal of administrative or political action.
All rights are subject to higher needs and administrative convenience.
However, the structure can provide recourse.
It helps to be a Unity voter or to have a client – patron relationship
with someone to intercede for you. THIS
IS A MAJOR CHANGE. Conscription is
enforced on a party oriented basis. So
is everything else.
surrenders without a shot per plan. Philippine
Army under Eisenhower and Patton withdraws into fortified regions on schedule.
Three years food even with civilians and two years ammo.
Major Japanese losses at sea to MTB’s, subs, small local air arm.
immigration, manpower, and enlistment made Presidential administrative decisions
saving only final citizenship except for military service or by act of Congress.
– Actual Japanese sweep (less Brit possessions not in war) EXCEPT : Wake
Holds. Western Sumatra holds as US
corps coming long way around Africa arrives under Bradley.
Macarthur brought out of Philippines as Philippine forces come under US
command and sent to Australia (gets him off Ike and Patton’s back).
Brisbane line plan instituted in Australia, with US taking charge of
everything north of the line ‘for duration’.
Brit and French empires stay out of war.
Portuguese and Dutch in as Japanese attack them.
Scratch US force under General Davis clings to Rabal.
Venezuela, Columbia, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Chile, Peru, Ecudor dragooned
into Alliance for Democracy – known informally as Alliance of Death or
Alliance of the Dead. Small allied
forces cling to pieces of Timor, Celebes, Bali, W Irian, Pt Mosby, Guadalcanal.
US force structure equal to late 42 – early 43.
Unprepared troops with deer rifles used when necessary.
Much use of 2nd class refugee citizens as cannon fodder,
especially in Philippines and Sumatra. Battles of the ‘Lines of Manila’ are
first war captured up front by TV crews, with footage run out by submarine to
Australia and from there by special courier to US.
Battles are a week to two weeks old but it’s the up front blood and
gore, not sanitized. Emphasis on
individual heroism, Japanese subhumanity. Many
noncitizen and nonwhite heroes. Further
war rage fueled by footage shot of Japanese death marches of captives across
Luzon (grainy and at a distance but includes up front interviews with the few
escapees). US completes road, rail, air base, pipeline route from Karachi
through Tibet to Chunking – Road Through the Roof of the world.
Beginnings of vast expansion of Karachi base area.
US assumes control and responsibility for Australia north of Brisbane
line as de facto US protectorate – the Australian base area under proconsul
Macarthur. US garrisons to Liberia and Saudi oilfields.
US – ROC treaty. US
accepts role as paymaster to Chiang. Beginnings
of Chunking base area with refugee and Asiatic ‘vol’ (read merc) units
holding vast base area. US only
concerned with Chiang as army in being to tie down Japanese.
Basically US sells China supplies and dollars for bases and manpower.
Austria and Czechoslovakia massive use of US checkbook and green cards to get
people and key goods out through Mid East towards Karachi.
Trainloads of Czech officers and technicians with key machine tools and
drawings from Skoda, etc. coming
out through Salonika. The entire
Skoda design staff airlifted out via Turkey to Detroit.
to August 1st – US Irish alliance.
Irish Americans discover they really aren’t isolationist after all. US
assumes old Brit Western Ports bases. US
trade in the event of war to be channeled thru Eire, Portugal and Holland.
US ‘unofficially’ allows Eagle Squadrons to begin recruitment
(volunteers allowed to ‘desert’ without penalty or citizenship problems).
US bases Azores, Cape Verdes. Loyal
American Legion allowed to form in Canada (de facto accepted as equivalent of US
military service for draft purposes).
is our ally in the Pacific. Therefore
we assume responsibility for the defense of the mother country.
Fortress Holland but made clear to Germans that Dutch remain in command /
‘purely defensive’…Evacuation on nonessential population from Holland
began to N Am and from Portugal to Brazil, Angola, and Mozambique.
push bridgeheads into North and Northwest Australia but pinned down by US,
Alliance and ‘volunteer’ [we will recruit any desperate refugee anyplace
with a US consulate – if the menfolk enlist we will take the dependents to
safety] forces with little Auzzie help. Naval
battles in NEI, Coral Sea, Solomons, Midway, Aleutians, Wake and off North
Australia destroy both sides carrier fleets and major surface components.
Japanese reduced to dependence on land based air.
US makes major use of slow, vulnerable but plentiful CVE’s.
Kiska, Attu lost. Wake,
Midway, Guadalcanal, Pt Mosby and Rabal hold but barely (Martin Luther King,
Jr., caught in transit with his father, wins the CMH as the legendary boy
chaplain of the Rabal siege garrison). Pure
make pact with Russians to meet manpower needs by drawing down Manchurian and
North China armies – de facto truce between Japanese and Mao, Kim Il Sung.
US subs mostly ineffective. Japanese
subs extremely effective but poorly employed.
Already major reliance on non-citizen manpower.
Essential personnel in guard and reserves (public safety, key skills)
allowed furlough to ‘help the Home Front’.
This will grow in time to slow leakage of politically favored individuals
out of combat and home.
August 1 1939 – December 31st 1939: Runup to war and alliance structure as in OTL except again US active with the checkbook and green cards. Most Balts lifted off to Sweden and Finland by promise of US transit visas. Remaining Jews, Uniates, White Russians and dependents of Polish officer corps out by August along with retired officers, key government officials and Enigma. Polish cadre will in this TL break for Rumanian, Hungarian borders instead of dieing in place. US has food, trains, visas waiting. No attempt to save weapons. Russians furious, Germans mostly relieved. Start of US units in Punjab like Our Lady of Cracow’s East Chicago Lancers.
In this TL Japan expands the
Pacific War to include France and Britain as of 9/3/39.
Japanese romp through UK – RF colonies – only south Malaya holds as
combined US and ANZAC force covers Singapore from the North.
Patton gut shoots Percival to stop British retreat.
Brits furious but in no position to do much about an Uncle Sugar that is
producing 12,000 planes a month.
Burma Road lost with Burma. US and Chinese forces (somewhat smaller than OTL) retreat on Assam instead on back to Yunnan. Mainland campaign victory revives waning Japanese morale. Pacific War in this TL was not the romp it was in OTL. Neither was China. Chiang has plentiful ammo and crew served weapons. He also has a real Air Force at Chunking and Kumming. Shift of Japanese emphasis to the mainland provides enough of a break in island slaughter for final Allied victory on Guadalcanal, Paupa, New Guinea, and resupply (but not relief) of Manila / Bataan / Davo.
Large US missions to Nordic countries to aid removal of Balt and Polish refugees. Advise strict neutrality but basically force Danes to lease ‘civil’ air bases Greenland, Iceland, Faeroes.
Finland was popular in the US as the only country in Europe to pay off its WW1 debts. Unity wants the Scandinavian vote. Anticommunism is a good political seller in much of the US. So Russo Finnish War prompts immediate US ‘volunteer’ forces – corps strength plus major air and logistics. They had already been deployed in support of the Baltic evacuation, including nominally civilian garrisons to hold the RR back to Narvik, which is the refugee evacuation port. US and CCCP go to war. US crosses Bering in midwinter, take far side of straits and Wrangel Island. Scandinavian civilian evacuation to North America begun. Swedish old age homes in the Mississippi Delta…
Weird belligerances – Russia
is allied with Japan in Pacific. Germany
is neutral in Scandinavia. Germany
occupies Hungary and Rumania over winter (one year earlier than OTL).
Major Hungarian and Rumanian refugee exodus through Turkey.
US and Germany are neutral against each other in Western Europe.
Turkey and Iran are de facto US allies with large missions in place but
claim to be neutral and US does not attack Ivan from either.
US is allied with UK Karachi East but not in Med or Atlantic but convoy
Brit ships as far as Lisbon and the Irish coast.
There is a US corps (nominally the Dutch East India Expatriate Labor
Force but no one is fooled) guarding rail and road lines across the Midlands to
link with ‘neutral’ Fortress Holland. Denmark
is clearing out its civil population but not militarizing.
There are US units at Narvik and along the RR thru Sweden to Finland but
in theory they are the Scandian Volunteer Corps
(devout anticommunist volunteers plus Scandinavian Americans and German
Americans allowed to volunteer for transfer out of other military units –
isn’t it amazing how many MidWesterners in the California embarkation ports
suddenly remember their Swedish grandmother and can mispronounce a few dozen
words of one of the relevant languages – also favorites of local Unity party
cadres allowed to be sent to Scandinavia in lieu of Pacific service – this is
the start of a trend that will be repeated in Portugal, Eire, England and
Holland – European service is a prize, especially non-infantry European
service and everything is political) . The
sides make as little sense as the Thirty Years War before the French entry.
They are about to simplify.
1, 1940 – May 7th 1940:
Japanese juggernaught in OTL basically came up short at the Burmese – Indian
border. There was simply no way to
supply a modern force over these mountain goat and donkey tracks without air
resupply which was beyond Japan’s resources at this time.
However, we postulate here a slightly crazier Japan.
We will make the INA and BNA slightly larger.
We will give direct backing to the Japanese from the local reds and the
left wings of the respective Congress parties [Burmese and Indian].
The Brits in late 39 were much weaker in both Burma and India than in
early 42. So essentially the
Japanese push scattered infantry columns with no supply echelon behind them
across the mountain hell. The few
heavy weapons and a little ammo are carried by horse, mule, bullock cart,
elephant, porter, bicycle, whatever. They
are supported by native levies with a few rifles, shotguns, swords, daggers,
clubs, whatever. The Brits coming
off the retreat never get their feet. They
are also burdened with vast civilian refugee columns, the first of the great
Imperial treks – Empire civil servants, Indian and Chinese expats, Eurasians,
ethnic minorities – anyone who anticipated trouble from a Burman nationalist
state under Japanese control – clog the few roads and intermingle with the
retreating troops to the point where most unit cohesion is lost, so what’s
coming out are partially armed refugee mobs.
They are hustled out of Assam into Bengal while the provinces rise behind
them. Ghandi and Nehru declare a
general strike and the handful of Brits, plus Muslim Leaguers, tribals,
loyalists, and the remnants of the Burma and Bengal armies retire on Dacca and
Calcutta. India trembles.
RussoFinnish War maintains its deadlock. The
Americans and Swedes (volunteers of course – with the US protecting them
Sweden will be a bit more forthcoming with her support for Finland in this TL)
keep feeding in strength to counter each Russian buildup.
By April of 1940, the Russians have overrun much of the Gulf of Finland
but are still held on the Mannerheim Line and have been hacked to pieces further
North. Instead of the German push
North being a surprise, it comes in response to ever more urgent Russian
surrenders in historic time – roughly 30 minutes.
Only this time the bulk of the Danish Army, fleet, air force, the royals,
the gold reserve and a substantial part of the few remaining civilians have
already fled to Sweden ahead of the German push.
Norway isn’t caught napping. The Germans need two weeks to fight their way into Oslo. Only Bergen is a walkover. Trondheim and the center are a confused welter of competing German, Allied and Norse / American bridgeheads. Narvik is a solid American victory. By early May the Germans will have south Norway, south Sweden and an all too active war on their hands. The Nordic Union will be an American protectorate.
By late April Russian formations are being brought to the Scandinavian front by train through Germany and then up through Denmark and across by ferry as German units are replaced for the Western offensive.
responds to the Scandinavian War by again reaffirming her neutrality.
The American forces in Holland don Netherlands East Indies uniform,
fooling no one but giving the Germans a fig leaf.
America admits to being a cobelligerant of the Nordic Union but denies it
is otherwise at war with Germany and further denies that its forces in Eire,
England, Holland and Portugal are belligerant against Germany.
Brits have a Scandinavian disaster as great in OTL.
The disaster for the German Navy is greater.
It is essentially annialated. The
Sovs lose their Baltic Fleet going for the Aaland Islands and their North fleet
trying for Petsamo. After 2 years
of war, American land based naval air can easily sink poorly protected European
ships, none of whom have the AAA of American or Japanese ships.
The ferry service works by tieing up very large numbers of Russo-German
AAA in the same manner as the Straits of Messina in OTL in 1943.
In this TL the USN has large land based air units as did the IJN.
They are easily ferried in from the ‘civil’ bases in Iceland and the
Faeroes. Baby carriers from the
Narvik run also active off Central Norway.
kick off on May 8th and after go exactly as in OTL except that the German 18th
Army attacking Holland gets its butt kicked by the US reinforced Dutch.
There’s a full American mech army in Holland (3rd) under
George Patton (in this TL the US will move major commanders around at need as
Stalin did in OTL). Basically
Holland holds less besieged Maistricht. The
Dutch actually push the frontier back a few klicks in many places.
Student’s paras essentially cease to exist on day 1.
The Americans then wheel south to cover Antwerp.
The Belgians get drawn into the American orbit.
The Brits are saved by American troops moving south behind them to hold
Dunkirk. American reinforcements by
sub help hold besieged Calais. The
BEF comes out on schedule but brings the whole French 1st and 7th
armies with it.
the massive divergence begins. The
French want a very large AngloSaxon force sent to help hold the Somme.
The Brits have no army to send as the BEF has come out but the equipment
is still piled up in Antwerp and Amsterdam awaiting shipment.
Ditto for the two French armies. There
are large depots of American equipment in Eire but America has no alliance with
France. America feels no gratitude
for the French leaving them to fight Japan for two years and then basically
surrendering Indochina without a fight. America
remembers all too well how the French repudiated their WWI debt.
America wants solid collateral before bailing France out again.
France notes that no such collateral was asked of Britain, Scandinavia or
Belgium (actually untrue but as its all being done very quietly it does appear
that way). US is simply more
simpatico to its English cousins and little countries they can dominate.
Basically while the Battle of Belgium rages the French and AngloSaxons
have another cat fight. Net effect
is that the French ask Hitler for an armistice BEFORE the breach of the Somme
line and the fall of Paris, while they still have a functional army.
says yes. Will not advance further
but French army to retire below the Loire – large war indemnity, surrender of
war material, transit rights through French ports, etc.
AngloSaxons enraged. French
equally so but in reverse. Italy
hasn’t yet entered war in this TL. Told
not to yet by Berlin AND Moscow.
of Belgium continues. Germans
pushed slowly back on Brussels by weight of American firepower.
German 6th Army stands siege in Belgian capital as front
solidifies in late July. German
horsedrawn divisions are easy meat for US air.
Lw chewed to pieces in frontal air battles.
The overcommitment of AAA to cover the ferry lines to Scandinavia comes
back to haunt the Germans.
between Anglos and French escalate in same period.
French impede Brit withdrawl from now neutral France.
British impede French transit through UK.
Anglos ignore French civil administration in occupied NE France.
Brits try to seize French ships in Alexandria and UK.
France and the AngloSaxons are at war.
French attack Nigeria, Gold Coast. Seize
Gambia. Sierre Leone only held with
American support from Liberia. Dutchess
of Windsor’s Own West Indian Home Guard airlifted in – island militia with
shotguns and ‘privately donated’ US deer rifles led by multiracial West
Indian notables and US bluebloods with their retinues of loyal retainers…
African stalemate: French have numbers and quality on the ground but no easy way
to reinforce. From Algiers to the
front is 1000+ miles of nothing. Brits
and Americans have little on the ground but have the ports, airfields and US
baby carriers. Anything within air
range of the coast is a walkover.
joins Pact of Steel. Brit Mid East
endangered by French in Syria, Italians in Libya.
US Second Armored Corps en route to Karachi under Ridgeway diverted in
the Indian Ocean in time to hold Egypt. Iraq rebels to join Axis once Vichy
joins. US and Anglo Indian force from Karachi dispatched to the Gulf – special
ops boyos secure Basra over Iraqi Reds and Nationalists – Stillwell’s
Sino-Sikh force headed by the mounted Polish lancers lead the advance to Baghdad
– Our Lady of Cracow’s East Chicago Lancers (a mixed Polish and Turkomen
(Sinkiang refugee mercs) mounted force) relieve the main Brit air base outside
and Spain join war. Franco is given
12 hour ultimatum to join or be invaded by Italy, France and Germany with
Russian support. Malta and
Gibraltar (taken by Italian Alpini and Marines after the Spanish and Germans
both fail) fall by end of July. Salazaar
refuses to be forced into Axis – pulls all of Portugal out through Lisbon.
Union of Brazil and Portuguese Empire in mid August.
Portugal’s Salazar becomes President, with Brazil’s Vargas as Chief
of Government. The governmental
style is a mixture of Salazar’s old Catholic fascism with Vargas’ populist
version of the same.
days later combined Russo-German airborne force lands in Dover region.
Massive at sea losses to the mostly French sea force but lodgement
secured. German alpine and jager
units go straight up the cliffs at Dover (led by the old mountain Jager medal
winner Erwin Rommel). Fall of
DIVERGENCE – Chamberlin falls later and is replaced by Halifax, NOT Churchill.
In this TL Halifax overcomes his constitutional scruples and Churchill
pays the price for his complete mishandling of Norway.
Winnie packed off to India as viceroy to get him out of the way
politically. He brings two generals
with him – Auchinlek and Alexander.
army fails – prepared to retreat on London ( GHQ Line).
Yanks pull a veto. US Corps
brought South from Midlands to save London.
Eire joins AOD for 2 more counties plus Catholic ghettos in Derry and
Belfast. Latin fleets go down
covering invasion but much of Brit home Fleet falls to Euro bombs, mines, subs.
British admirals prove as inept without Winnie as they did with him.
British are both grateful and enraged. Hate Yank superiority shit and feel Yanks deliberately dawdled in getting their equipment home from the continent. Enough blame to go around. This will not be an ‘Ike’ war like OTL. Much acrimony every step of the way. Egos and issues.
government becomes associated power – refuses to join AOD.
Much more arm’s length than OTL. Halifax
and Longstreet cordial but not friendly. Each
side of the ‘cousins’ league is VERY wary of being cheated by the other.
Brits stripped of New World assets, bases, many other assets but preserve
stronger economic position (unlike FDR, Longstreet allows British to continue
nonmilitary exports to earn FX during war – Rolls Royce moves main production
to Kingston Jamaica to better service the New World’s war boom – imported
British goods help fill American home front buying power) at the cost of weaker
military (they will ultimately mobilize more manpower by using colonials and
refugees but more British manpower kept in industry and better balance of
military and export production – much smaller Bomber Command for example) –
in OTL Churchill bankrupted UK for victory.
Halifax’s priorities include Britain’s postwar position as he sees no
way for final victory over united Europe, Russia, Japan.
Also very wary of becoming US lap dog.
in the meantime has blown completely. The
Japanese lightly screen Calcutta / Dacca and head straight for the Hindi
speaking plains of north india. Ghandi
calls a general strike. Every red,
Congress and dacoit gang in India rushes to grab its share of the crumbling Raj.
Millions die in a few weeks as the Brits are driven back on a handful of
seaports. However, there is nothing
to replace them besides localized anarchy.
The remaining Brits in Hindistan retire on Delhi.
The Americans and Chinese retire on Lahore to defend Punjab and the road
to Chunking. Ghandi, Nehru and the
bulk of the Congress Presidium become ‘honored guests’ of their Japanese
South Asian stalemate: Japan has
too few troops and no supply route. Britain
has other fish to fry. America is
concerned (for now) only with Karachi to Chunking.
End result, chaos, slaughter, degeneracy (total collapse of civilization
in many areas – scenes out of the Thirty Years War or the Mongol conquests)
and American access to India’s starving masses.
The limiting factor on America’s ground forces begins to fray badly.
US whips out the checkbook and buys British cooperation.
Agrees to pay for the South Asian theater if they can get their choice of
players, Duke of Windsor as Prince Regent (of India, Malaya, the South Seas and
the Americas), Churchill as Viceroy, Alexander as C-in-C India Army and
Auchinlek as commander of the Bengal Army.
Brits gather up the immediately deployable 4th,5th,8th,10th Indian
Divisions plus extras making III Indian Corps and redeploy to Mid East.
9th,11th Indian Divisions and IV Indian Corps to follow once training
cycle completed. Britain will
continue to drain India of ‘loyalists’ until their break with the AOD, see
below. India is now an American
Theaters by end of 1940 are Dover Front, Biscay Crossing, West African interior
front, East Africa, Eastern Basin of Med
has primary responsibility for Scandinavia, North Sea, Holland, North Atlantic,
Central Atlantic (including captured Spanish islands), South Atlantic, Turkey,
Indian Ocean, South Asia, Southeast Asia, Phil, PNG, Australia, Pacific,
Solomons, North Pacific
and feeding of Lisbon is shared
link to Calais has been re-established. British
garrison had been replaced by mixed US and Polish units.
German 6th Army is starving in Brussels.
Allies have relieved Maistricht and retaken most of Belgium.
Western Front is a sea of slaughter.
Euro manpower expended against bottomless American artillery and air.
Axis has brought in Yugoslavia at gunpoint.
Greece and Turkey attacked. The
Thracian, Salonika and Attican fronts are even nastier versions of the same.
Russians make slow progress in the Caucasus against horrendous
casualties. Afghanistan is a no
man’s land of competing raiders. Interior
India is a slaughterhouse while progressively more of the population huddles
around a few base ports living as war slaves to the American sausage grinder.
Interior Africa is a deadlock. Allies
have held South Greece, beaten the Iraqi insurgency and are slowly beating down
resistance in Syria, East Africa and Madagascar (all gone by mid 41).
The starving Japanese are being worked out of key positions across the
South Seas. Japan’s and
Germany’s economies are totally dependent on Russian raw materials.
None of the Eurasian allies trust each other.
Chiang’s army grows ever bigger but does little beyond securing West
China for himself and arming ever more guerillas n the Japanese rear.
sees the sausage machine grind ever onwards.
Interior Africa is cleared back to mid-Sahara.
Cuban and Guatemalan Red / Nationalist revolts surpressed.
Rest of South America dragged into Alliance (basically at gunpoint).
The South Seas are firmly in Allied hands except for the key islands of
the NEI and the old Japanese mandate islands.
Kiska, Attu are lost in a surprise Russo-Japanese operation but the
resultant sea battle leaves no Eurasian Fleet outside the Home Islands.
Tarawa at dawn. First live TV battle. There are camera crews in the lagoon as the Marines wade in. The slaughter goes direct to every CATV hookup in the US as one of the first Comsats happens to be lined up right. Also to the command ship where Longstreet is watching the botch. He pulls one small carrier with the first copters and three transports with some extra units he insisted be brought – a mixed race SEAL team, a company of ‘baby buffalos (black teen volunteers from deep Dixie with retired regular military black cadre) and a company of the 100th Neisi Infantry Bn (the Yankee Samuari). SEALS circle to the back of the island by speedboat, swim ashore on the back of the atoll (which is supposedly unapproachable by sea – largely correct but these are dedicated volunteers, and they take their losses getting through the breakers over the rocks and coral after which the copters airlift the rest in. Longstreet will more than win his CMH live on national TV reverting to being the engineer officer he was, blowing one Japanese bunker after another down the spine of the atoll to break the deadlock in the lagoon and at the sea wall. This action marks his complete break with the military promotion system as he ceases to pay any attention to the rules when promoting and assigning his favorites – the officers who were with him in this all have major career push (the equivalent of being in one of the two elite airborne divisions in ETO in OTL). Also the start of the ‘Loyalist League’ (known by its detractors as ‘The Cult of the Honored Dead’) by which a political movement is formed of the military vote, with exservicemen (often war disabled) as candidates. A little privately made pin, a black attol outline on a dark blue sea with the hint of dawn over the horizon, given to those who can substantiate the claim that they were ‘at Tarawa at dawn’…
pipeline finally reaches Chunking.
As long as this pipeline functions Chunking and thus Chiang are largely
undefeatable. The Dover pocket and
Brussels succumb to starvation. The
twin Arctic ‘fronts’ are fluid war zones backed by supportable bases.
as a strategic situation: the Eurasian powers distrust each other, cooperate
poorly and have a common agricultural weakness.
German technology plus Russian manpower and production are the core.
There is no combined general staff or Politburo.
All the major players are essentially looter states with little regard
for the lives or property of non-citizens.
Alliance has only one major power. The
cousins are associated but not essentially hostile.
Ditto the White commonwealths. The
Combined Chiefs may be advisory but they are light years ahead of what’s on
the other side. So the war is
fought in the American style – lavish logistics and incredible firepower with
little operational finesse.
OTL the counterpoint is that both Anglo Saxon powers were incredibly short of
combat staying power at the sharp end. They
ran through their manpower base while making insufficient provision
for combat units and within that for replacements.
So they always had too few divisions and those divisions always had to be
carefully monitored to prevent burnout from lack of replacements.
is true in this TL. The manpower
resources of Latin America, Africa, India and China are all available.
This means that citizen forces can be kept in the XXth century jobs
feeding the firepower machine while auxils in endless new replacement companies
do most of the dieing. It also
means that Anglo Saxon labor can be stretched by endless quantities of labor
troops and garrison units in all their many guises.
The fact that the major food producers (US, Canada, Australia, NZ,
Argentina) are all on one side helps. In
a world of privation you can mobilize as many men as you can clothe and feed.
Also while the color bar is an impediment, it is nothing compared with
the race bar to the Nazis or the internal enemy to the Reds.
Force draft import of 3rd world labor will keep the cousin
economies humming at better than full production.
Sea and airlift will provide strategic mobility.
it will do nothing to change the fact that the cousins are on external lines.
The Eurasian positions are a series of balloons surrounded by
disconnected cousin positions on peripheries.
To counter this the cousins have air power.
The Eurasians could contest the air war in their Euro heartland and in
Northeast Asia. Elsewhere the
differential basing situations preclude this.
So they are being attritted across Africa, India, Southeast Asia and much
of the Pacific. The U-Boat war has
turned negative attritionally also. Essentially
it is costing some large multiple of x for every x of shipping killed.
This leads to the bulk of the Eurasian sub fleet being converted to
transport roles or used against warships.
the US aerospace predominance means that strategic air warfare all runs in one
direction. Western Europe, the Med
and the Baltic are increasingly dominated in one direction from the air.
Production must be step by step pulled back towards the Eurasian
heartland, with European plants moving to the Central and Eastern Europe and
Japanese to the mainland. The
multinational nature of the alliance complicates all of this.
40-42 the cousins are training their sepoys.
From 43 onwards the tide will truly roll.
Also the Eurasians keep trying to find offensive solutions to win the
war. The cousins prefer local and
theater victories while not losing the total war.
This puts the attritional pressure mostly on one side.
The Brits want Africa and ultimately Western Europe (if possible).
The US wants to keep China in the war long enough to destroy the Japanese
Empire and occupy the Home Islands. Neither
cousin has great interest in the other’s sphere.
The Brits want a semi-restored balance of power.
The Americans want revenge (and have internal political reasons geared
Eurasians want to at least rule the Eastern hemisphere as seemed highly possible
in mid1940. They are not seriously
looking at compromises, especially as those compromises would fall
asymmetrically on Japan and the non-German Euro Axis.
Germany needs the Latin Euros to counterbalance Russia.
Russia needs some victories to validate the sacrifices of the war.
Japan fears for her survival.
in this period the American space program begins to pay off.
The first recon and com sats are up.
A rudimentary GPS has begun. Space
Station Freedom will begin launch from the Cape on January 7, 1942.
Not every rocket works. This
is war. Casualties are quite acceptable. Who
can object to dead astronauts after the live pictures from the lagoon at Tarawa
or the pitiful survivors’ accounts of the Luzon death marches.
basically 41 and early 42 see one attack after another repulsed in Karelia,
Scandinavia, the West, Libya and the Aegean.
It’s the Western Front of 1916 on a supercontinental scale.
new dance begins April of 42. The
two sides have been playing ‘surprise swoop’ in the Frisian and near North
Sea islands for two years. Now the
Allies use a blown swoop to cover a full-scale (AG level) invasion of Denmark .
In a stroke they cut off a million Axis troops and half a million Allied
civilians in south Scandinavia. Insane
battles of material across the North and Baltic Seas and the Jutland peninsula
do not budge the stalemate. It is a
classic American small strike. Tiny
frontage, massive use of firepower and material.
Large but far from war winning gain.
sees the Central Pacific’s turn. The
Marianas. Instead of trying to take
back the South Seas first it is the beginning of a direct push on the Home
Islands. Entire remaining Axis
Pacific Fleet and long range air brought to battle and trashed – Marianas
Turkey Shoot – land battle is an attritional hell but successful. The new
pattern is 2 men of the Japanese garrison cause one Allied casualty in being
destroyed. This almost broke the US
late in OTL’s Pacific War [Marianas, Luzon, Iwo, Okinowa].
Here the losses are disproportionately not US citizens.
is Europe’s turn again. Roundup . Joint
landing in Normandy gets Army Group level bridgehead and port of Cherbourg.
Axis seals the penetration but loses balance of Pas de Calais and NE
France on the bounce. Axis now
faced with defending every stretch of coast in occupied territory.
Each new bridgehead just moves the airfields and artillery further
OTL the tank quality game is largely matched.
Axis tanks will always be bigger and better but response with Pershing
and then Patton is months, not years. Also
TD’s are fully armored with a good 90mm high velocity gun (we had such a AAA
gun but never caught onto the idea of using it in an AT role).
Killer copters a generation earlier than OTL.
sees a quick amphib jab into Cyrennaica – CRUSADER - create mobile conditions.
The Libyan front turns fluid and is driven back to El Aghelia by October.
This is turn unhinges the Italians in the Fezzan and the French in North
is the Pacific’s turn again. Iwo
Jima is laid waste in an even worse battle than OTL as the US just keeps sending
in fresh rifle companies in an endless stream.
The squad at Surabachi is among the few citizens on the island.
The Japanese High Command begins to know internal fear.
Evacuation of the Home Islands by ‘nonessential’ personnel and ‘key
war industries’ accelerates. No
B-29 raids as no way this project runs faster – there were extreme aerodynamic
problems with this bird from the getgo.
the hammer falls on Morocco from Casablanca to Tangiers – TORCH .
Patton’s Army Group take a series of bridgeheads and slowly links them
through the fall and winter. A
smart Axis would have fled from the remaining Sahara positions.
These boys do not know the word retreat – its politically dangerous.
Hitler had learned Stalin’s trick of shooting defeatists.
Hydrich and Beria are now drinking buddies with monthly ‘liason’
meetings in Warsaw on the border of their realms.
A third material battle as the Axis tries to outreinforce Algeria ahead
of the American push.
is back to the Pacific month – Okinowa this time.
By now it’s a ritual. American
landing. Internal slaughterhouse.
No kamikazi. Planes being
horded instead for the battle of the Home Islands.
First major Axis push at Chunking repulsed.
It is a logistical no brainer. Starvation
in the South Seas eating away at Japanese garrisons.
Morale shot as ‘key cadre’ evacuated by supply subs and replaced by
Korean, Soviet, Manchu, Chinese, Filippino fillers.
Puppet Republics of Indonesia, Vietnam, Burma, Philippines ordered
is back to the Med. HUSKY . US 7th
Army lands SE Sicily. British 8th
Army lands near Syracuse. Cdn II
Corps makes key landings in Italian toe. Four
month slog to clear island and bottom of foot.
This will over the winter make the Western Basin into the sea of death.
Constant pressure here will allow a New Year’s linkup between the two
Western Fronts along the Seine.
winter operations take Tshuima and Pescadores in Pacific, Pusan in Korea.
Seige of Japan begun. Winter
offensive from Finland by forces freed from collapse of Scandinavian front in
turn takes Gulf of Finland and Baltic islands.
Still more advanced bases.
year’s coups ( 1/1/43) in the three Latin capitals replace governments by
hardline brown red coalitions. Russians
begin evacuating industrial working classes (or the Red portions thereof) to
Soviet heartland to build still more industries in Urals and Western Siberia.
Starvation pandemic in Axis India, Southeast Asia, much of rural China,
South Seas, Axis Africa. Winter
push begun on Soviet salient in greater Kurdistan.
Again a push from both sides at the top.
Plenty of time to withdraw. No
inclination. Over the course of the
year another million plus loser.
cadres keep off African surrender until June of 43.
Massive deaths from hunger and firing squads.
Little allied pressure on the sack.
Concentrate instead on taking Balaerics, Sardinia, Corsica, Elba.
Pacific system. Landings.
Airheads and logistical bases. Then
the endless stream of replacement companies into the interior kill zone.
Air losses great enough to effect air battle over Europe.
Allied air superiority west of the Elbe and within range of the sea.
Essentially the Eurasian bomber and transport fleets bleed to death here
the way they did in Tunisia and Stalingrad in OTL.
43 – British land in and take greater Andulasia - BREVITY, Galacia / BATTLEAXE
– link up with bands of fleeing Franco loyalists who defect as soon as there
are Brits to run to. Break out of
lines of Lisbon to retake most of Portugal.
Massive Brazilian forces involved. US
lands in and takes Brittany – POINTBLANK ; Allied forces slow but steady link
up North sea coast to Danish Army Group. Essentially
take old Kingdom of Westphalia. The
attrition is starting to show and Stalin is rationing Soviet formations outside
USSR. More evacuation of
economically useful population to east of the Elbe and north of the Danube.
: Bypassed Japanese chased into mountains of Philippines, Celebes, Timor, Bali,
New Guinea. Driven into the sea in
Australia, mostly by hunger and large scale defections of nonJapanese.
–44 Spratleys and Parcels taken. Surviving
Japanese in Pacific slowly reduced and replaced.
15, 1943 : Olympic – 14 division landing after greatest air sea battle in
Suicide MTB’s. Human
TV guided bombs. Japanese
air force totally ceases to exist. Sov
FE Air Force plays RAF in France. After
X number of squadrons they stop coming. US
will take till November fighting its way half way up the island.
Graveyard of the Japanese Army. Most
garrisons on mainland Vietnam and north given over to Soviets, Euros, Asiatic
secondary troops. Most reliable of
Asiatic ferried across to Japan to die as well.
Sovs take over garrison duty Kuriles, Sakhalin, Hokkaido.
Hirohito killed in first Tokyo fire raid (US Lancasters from Okinowa) .
Fire raids reduce Japanese cities to hot ash.
South Kyushu becomes #2 base after Karachi.
1, 1943 – Avalanche – Salerno. SOF
and Camora take Naples docks. Ten
day bridgehead battle ends with Allied air beating Axis land.
South Italy line unhinged. Axis
withdraws to already built Gustav Line covering Rome by July.
Foggia bases for bombers. Albanian
6th , 1943 – Overlord – Biscay landings at Bordeaux.
Frantic Axis reserve movements including release of Russian reserves
contain landings to coastal Aquitaine but linkup with main front by August.
Paris besieged. Petain
wisked off to Germany. Degrelle
left as Fortress Fuhrer in Paris.
20th, 1943 – Warhammer – Barcelona landings intended to pinch off
Spain. Further Russian reserve
fronts sucked forwards to prevent necessity of evacuating Iberia.
Iberia front is now (October) long salient past Madrid to Seville but
with little coastline left.
2nd, 1943 – Coronet – landings east of Tokyo.
It will take almost a year to clear Tokyo – Osaka plain. In
meantime Axis takes massive losses pulling key personnel out of home islands.
Allies will take remaining ports 43-44.
Form lodgement. Send bn’s
and rgt’s into interior on kill sweeps. Think
Draka in Erin’s books and then think that the first ranger unit sent in are
all orphans from the Nanking massacre. By
end of 44 they control all ports in home islands.
100K wild Japanese and Eurasian in interior.
Japanese have broken the jewel. Less
than 14M of the 100M are still alive. 3M
are in garrisons in the South. More
than half the remainder are honorary Japanese – Taiwanese, Koreans, Manchus,
Mongols, misc. Asiatics, Jews, White Russians, partially Japanese children of
comfort women and concubines. The
Yamato Race is dead. They are the
ruling elite of a war communist Russian satellite running from Manchuria and Far
North Korea through North China to Peking, Tiensin, and Shantung.
They hate the ‘allies’ who left them to die almost as much as they
hate the few surviving samurai officers who they blame for the whole stupid war.
10th, 1943 – Iceberg – Anzio landing.
Brit idea. Debacle.
Oversized corps pinned down in glorfied pocket.
Proves strength of Anglo navies. It
holds. Bleeds like old Gallipoli
but it holds.
11, 1943 – Winnie – landings at Durazo in Albania.
Pries lose Balkan front. Over
winter front driven back to Montenegro – Nish – Sofia – Black Sea.
Opens Balkans as yet another theater to deploy Allied manpower.
New Macedonian air bases close Danube to axis traffic, force remaining
war production back to USSR. Massive
relocation of Euro industry with interruptions of production.
First jet battles up the cost of the air war but change nothing.
Allies just interdict all extra long runways.
Axis not able to do the same in reverse.
November 20, 1943 – V1 bombardment of London and south English ports begun from Paris region outside the Allied siege lines. British morale goes down yet again. Hallifax needs the whips to survive the no confidence motions.
garrisons starved out of Kuriles, Aleutians and Sakhalin by combination of tight
blockade and SOF – all gone by Easter 44.
Prisoners swaps begun through North Iran. Latin American reds and captured cadre swapped for Poles, zeks, etc. Limited but first positive result of long Swiss talks.
feeling strain of long war much worse than US and other cousins.
30, 1944 – Camerone – US landings at Hue and Dannang break ground supply
line to India. Axis forced inland.
1, 1944 – Diadem – Anzio breakout coupled with unhinging of Italian front
– advance to Gothic Line by autumn
15, 1944 – V2 (longer ranged version) bombardment of London, Antwerp and
Amsterdam begun from central Germany. Further
drop in British home front morale.
6, 1944 – Edward – Dobrovnik landings – Balkan front unhinged again and
driven back to Croatia – Slavonia – Danube by year end – slow sweep into
Kamchatka, Yakutia, Byrutia, Kolyma – will take two years of slow give and
take but yet another bleeding ulcer comes on stream
15th, 1944 – Dragoon – new landing seizes Provence but contained
in southern Rhone Valley. Logistical
situation in Iberia and Pyrennes approaches hopeless.
Pinchout will come near Vichy on 6 January, 1945.
Over 2 million lost this time.
20th, 1944 – Berlin fire raid kills Hitler, Borman, much of OKW but
not OKH. Goring new Fuhrer. Was in
Orleans (mis)managing air supply and evacuation of Iberian Front. Accepts
subordinate status to Stalin but not satellite.
German and Euro industry begins final stage of evacuation to USSR.
Combined General Staff under Stalin, Zhukov and Manstein.
Generals can see handwriting on the wall.
Too many troops in Balkans and Europe.
Danger of losing remainder of West and Central Europe.
Japan spent and overextended. Need
for a diplomatic solution. Need to
split cousins alliance. Weak link
is UK. Will they be satisfied with
France? What will satisfy US?
15th – Chromite – Inchon landings – Soeul falls.
Push up Korea to waist through fall into spring 1945.
: the Axis bleeds from a hundred wounds. The
bankrupt British stare at a war without end.
The Americans prefer war to Depression.
The American President is already lining up another term in 1948 and
refuses peace without Asia and return of all POWs and Allied friendly civilians
– Stalin wants to bargain on an equality he’s lost and will not face a
superiority that is coming on him with all the grace of a falling hammer.
The longer the war goes on the greater the American hegemony economically
and technically. Germany’s super
weapons and the combined Axis bomb project are already trumped by the American
space force. The nuclear race will
end at Munkden in August of 1945. The
new Japanese Emperor, his high command, his court and a quarter of a million
random people will die. The Sov
rocket center in Kazakstan will be next, followed by the nuclear center in the
Urals near Sverdlovsk. Munkden was
pure spite. By now its one of the
few cities outside the USSR not burned to the ground.
The killing machine grinds into Germany by mid 45.
The Po Valley collapses in April. By
June Czechia and Hungary are Allied occupied graveyards, pinching out another
million man pocket in Austria and the upper Alps.
Leningrad, Archangel, Murmansk, Kotlas, Grozny, Tiblis, Baku, Tallinin,
Riga. It’s a slow slaughter
machine. Its an efficient slaughter
machine. It is grinding for Berlin
by May of 46 when at last Stalin concedes land in Slovakia and Rumania to get
his British peace. An exhausted
British cabinet signs and doesn’t even wait for the General Election results
to hand power over to Labor. The
Tory right and the Labor left plus enough little Englanders and weary pols have
combined to take any peace. Britain’s
stab in the back will buy the Big Man another election but in fact America knew
it was coming. They didn’t
object. They merely declined to
participate. England inherits the
bulk of Africa and most of Europe without the resources to feed itself for a
week. The British privations will
go on. Only the killing will stop.
Uncle Shylock will drive a series of ever harder bargains, driving the
white commonwealths to gradually forsake the mother country rather than pay
England’s debts. The US will keep
Turkey and Persia as its spoil. The
Belgian Congo and Portuguese Africa will be jointly exploited.
Fortresses Benelux and Scandinavia remain in the American camp.
The American occupation zone (basically most of Germany west of the
Berlin) is a pit of blood. America
accepts that the war is over from the Caspian West.
has used 45-47 to massively partially demobilize their own citizens while
putting the war on a longterm basis. They’ve
reoccupied Java, Sumatra, Borneo, coastal Indochina, Taiwan, Shantung, Hainan,
Shanghai, Hong Kong – Kwangtung – Canton.
the meantime the rot in Chaing’s China has passed redemption.
Axis pressure on his West China stronghold increases year by year.
His armies are getting weary of fighting off one offensive after another.
The warlords won’t fight. The
US mercs will only fight for Chunking and a few airheads.
The nationalist rank and file increasingly ask themselves if they are the
victim of Chiang’s anticommunist obsession.
Paradoxically the endless supply of dollars is beginning to fuel an
inflationary vortex as it exceeds the goods available for purchase.
The new coastal enclaves and support for irregulars seems to hint at
American plans to occupy China as the Japanese did.
The intelligent answer would be to move Chiang back to a coastal base of
power – Canton or perhaps Shanghai. He
fears to go without his armies. The
armies in turn are trapped by the external lines.
To bring them out through Karachi to Canton would take years.
and East Asia now present a circular paradox.
At any time from 1948 onwards the Axis could have secured most of China
by ceasing to pass resources further up the chain to Southeast Asia and India.
The Allies could have secured India by letting the Chinese be crushed.
Both sides wanted both.
the Americans foresaw that even at the reduced rate they were fighting the war
after Europe they would ultimately bleed / run the Axis out of India, Southeast
Asia and most of China before the logistical situation turned neutral somewhere
between Nanking and Lake Bikal. They
saw no reason to settle for anything less as politically they were prepared to
fight forever. War kept the economy
humming. War provided an excuse to
run their alliances as an American Empire.
War kept their fractured political coalition together.
At the price of 60 – 100 K citizen dead / year on a rapidly rising
citizen population of 150 million, the costs were manageable.
The noncitizen and semicitizen dead really didn’t enter into the
equation. A few of their dependents
would become citizens and vote for the war party to validate the honored dead.
Meanwhile they built up their infrastructure, forged ahead in science and
solidified their hold on the resources of the solar system.
wanted peace. Each year he has
prepared to take the deal he could have had a few years earlier.
He would not allow himself to be publicly proven wrong by accepting the
slowly worsening corrolation of forces.
The facts were that the blood price was killing off his core Russians,
Germans and Japanese faster than they were reproducing.
The facts were that his supply lines east of Sverdlovsk were always
weaker than the great American air – sea – seebee machine.
No marvels of the human spirit like the Siam – Burma railroad could
make up for what American capital and bottomless labor could produce.
His German scientists were always one step ahead of the Americans.
The Americans always caught up before there was any strategic
significance. His German factory
technicians were always superior to the Americans.
American weight of numbers negated German superweapons.
American command of the air forced the bulk of his production into the
far interior. It forced it to
dispurse even then. The fact simply
was that American command capitalism was more productive than a Stalinist or
Nazi police and party state. The
Americans had the miracle nukes first. They
replied to every Eurasian bomb attempt several fold.
America lost Dutch Harbor (1949). The
Russians lost Kiev and Breslau. A
second atomic round centered on sub launch weapons and nacent German ICBM’s
(1952) cost America Hartford, Pittsburgh CA, and a few random villages (the
ICBM’s and cruise missiles were not very accurate) and a lot of dead fish –
the suicide bomb torpedoes rarely penetrated harbors.
The response cost Russia every major city in Central Asia, Western
Siberia and the Urals. The final
round (1953) saw two dozen superbombers take off from hidden fields in Siberia.
Four got past NORAD and the US lost Albequerke NM (Beria’s boys were a
little off on Los Alamos after being penetrated), Berkeley CA, Tacoma WA, and
Omaha NE. The American loss of
patience saw a 1/4th sized dino killer powered rock take out Moscow and the bulk
of the combined Politburo with Stalin. (the all volunteer all ex-zek, last
survivor of extended Kulak family crew rides the rock in, broadcasting a group
singing of Orthodox hymns in Ukranian and Russian)
The new Moscow Sea made a shining picture from orbit.
Eurasia rang like a bell. The
remaining cities and major bases of Eurasia vanished under a steady stream of
American H Bombs – Eurasia had tested them first but could not get past the
bombardments for sustained serial production.
Stalin and Beria die. So do
most of the Politburo. A new one is
cobbled together from the regional party bosses who were out of town led by the
Ukranian boss, Nikita Khrushchev.
to this Stalin had finally yielded to military necessity.
The long retreat from India began in mid 1949.
It ended with the last few tens of thousands crossing the flooded Yangtse
under massive air and artillery bombardment in 1956.
Over five years tens of millions of people died and an additional hundred
million were displaced to get under a million out.
It was one of the great demographic disasters of human history.
the meantime came the tragedy and triumph of China.
An all out series of pushes saw the fall of Chunking in 48-49.
The warlords defected or fled. The
Americans past a certain point would not save Chiang from himself.
The Peanut’s Court went down in a blaze of glory.
The main American force retreated up the railroad towards Tibet.
The main Chinese was cut off. Chiang
would not allow retreat. By the
time of his death they occupied a vast pocket to the south and east of the city.
A ripe fruit waiting to fall. Only
it didn’t happen that way. The
Chinese generals and Chiang’s son were willing by this time to listen to
impolite Americans in the face of certain death.
The Eurasians were set up to block a linkup with the RR. So the
Nationalists retreated the other way. To
and past Kumming. Ultimately to the
sea at Canton. Fifteen million
people came out by ground. Another
three million by air. Millions more stay, surrounded in a series of fortress
airheads. The retreat took 29 months. It
was the air power story of all-time. The
moveable fortress, as it was called, basically blocked the Eurasian retreat
route out of Southeast Asia. Kumming
holds. Some of the other airheads
fall. Its warring states to a tune
of SOF’s and Tiger tanks. Eurasian
bravery falls to the organized American murder machine.
After 90 days rest the Chinese army turns around and heads back to
Chunking. A second major force
leaves Shanghai to work its way up both banks of the Yangtse.
From mid 1953 onwards the impossible begins to happen.
The surrenders come in droves, in waves.
The samuri fanatics, the commissars, the punishment regiments, nothing
can make human flesh stand up to the endless rain of bombs and shells backed by
an endless stream of armored supported infantry [this is Ridegway’s offensive
in 1951 Korea in OTL but with infinite manpower].
The fighters are pushed into the mountains to starve.
The rest wait in the valleys under white flags.
Chunking falls in reverse by the end of 1954, Nanking in early 1955.
Eurasian generals are frantic. The
police and politicals cannot or will not see the end.
The American Arctic lines are beginning to creep forwards again.
A signal is being sent. If
America has to occupy all of Eurasia it will.
The issues keeping peace off now are POW’s and civilians.
The Americans want all of theirs back but only want to return those they
choose to. Goring, who missed the
Moscow killoff by being up at AF Theater HQ outside Peking, is the front for a
coalition of senior military and industrial people.
Koniev brings over enough of the armed Russian police.
Hausser, Dietrich and Steiner bring in the Waffen SS.
Zhukov and Rommel bring over the two main armies.
July 20, 1955 – the Night of the Generals –
police and party cadre die in 72 hours, 1.5M will follow before the bloodbath
runs its course. The new Junta asks
the Americans for a truce on 8 August,1955.
The final peace comes on July 30, 1958.
Three years of squabbles on POW’s, American interviews of disputed
civilians, demarcating lines from Turkmenistan to the Soviet Maratimes.
Of forcing in the last U Boats. Of
getting the last bypassed garrisons to accept that this peace rumor was real,
lay down their guns and be flown home. Of
getting assassins to the Mao’s, and Kim’s, and Ho’s who simply wouldn’t
end a lost war. The Eurasian
Federation is both more and less than the USSR.
Less in having lost Leningrad and much of the Arctic, of losing half the
Baltics, most of the Caucasus and a piece of Central Asia.
More in the last Euro strip of Germany, Poland, Lithuania, Reuthania and
the Japanese NE China Combined State.
Eurasian standard of living is at roughly 1600.
They are eating rats to afford a competitive military.
Civilians get ersatz everything and very little of that.
British Home Islands standard of
living is at 1890, with dependent territories at every level between Eurasia and
Britain. The Europe they got had
most of its population forceably relocated – they are rebuilding with a mix of
refugees, colonial peoples and volunteers from Latin America who prefer life in
the British Euro Raj to its American variant at home.
is at 1929. America’s empire is
at 1960 with America at say 1975.
(Note: the American 1975 is GDP per capita – consumer goods are more
expensive, more value oriented and less plentiful than OTL – no planned
obsolescence, no tail fins – more of the GDP is in the form of state services
(education, health care, day care, etc.) – much less suburbanization, smaller
houses, better mass transit – essentially instead of Big Business making the
key decisions technocrats have much more say – also no parasitic urban welfare
population). China and
India are dead except by American charity.
Within all of them the state is richer and the individual poorer than
OTL. Personal consumption is a
relative thing. If you have more
than last year and more than others you are well off.
America and her immediate friends are well off.
Everyone else isn’t and knows it.
America has space stations, moon bases, L’s, near earth asteroids, orbital defenses, asteroid and Jovian exploitation bases in development, SPS, GPS, comsats, spy sats, CATV, computers. They have orbital bombs as well as NORAD and SAC. They have missile subs. Eurasia is not allowed atomics – America will bomb any suspected installation. Eurasia is not allowed missiles or spacecraft – repeat last answer. Eurasia is not allowed even fishing boats, much less a navy. Britain lives on its US pension as it were, resenting the shit out of it. India and China are being slowly reconstructed, the former under the Emperor Edward and his American wife (practically under Churchill’s children and political heirs, with Jinnah and the Muslim League as valued allies) . The latter under Chiang the younger and his American advisors. The Russian first wife is politely set aside publicly and an American Born Chinese woman installed in her place. There are codominium base zones and a long slow program for their removal. America will keep all the islands from Japan south as permanent imperial soil.
civilian standards of living will continue to accelerate as America is on a much
higher growth path than OTL as it is actively developing its ‘Empire’ and
the solar system, while funding both American style basic research and endless
‘Japanese’ (WW2 American) incremental development.
(We turned away from incremental development postWW2 – the glamour was
the Manhattan project – bold leaps that hit grand slam home runs instead of
pain staking small improvements that had been our prior forte).
Instead of getting our growth off consumption, our driving engines are
serving as the tech and capital goods sources for a globe and solar system
spanning unit. We also are major
investors in the Stirling Block, as the new British Empire comes to be known.
Zhukov, Koniev, Vatuin, Manstein, Guderian, Rommel, Degrelle, Hausser, Dietrich,
Balbo, Brezhnev, Kosigan, are the leaders but with Slavic supermajorities at
every level. The Russ are the
governing race. The Germans are
their tech support. The little
Asiatic statelet is drained of manpower for rebuilding elsewhere.
All are shocked that it leads Eurasia in recovery.
The surviving Japanese and Asiatic Reds are hard strong men who have
learned much from their disasters.
America is a one party populist dictatorship.
Rock and roll is not oppositional. Elvis
headlines the Loyalist League convention in Vegas in 58 along side Sinatra,
Little Richard, Ritchie Valens and Perry Como.
Youth culture means what the troops will like.
It is not driven by Madison Avenue as a device to sell product.
Miz T will suceede to the Presidency in 1960 as the old man retires to be
head of the Alliance from a lunar base. The
States Rights Party will be overtly racist.
The Republicans will turn more on class distinction. The
Popular Front will seem as semitraitors, but useful ones in that they justify
the ‘emergency’ never ending. Space
is an Alliance preserve with some British participation but no Empire launch
capacity. Not permitted you know.
The Empire trades with the Eurasians, the Alliance does not.
So Empire tagging serves as a fig leaf in both directions.
The Empire / Stirling Block gets a steady ‘brain drain’ of the more
ambitious and a reverse drain of those who value their liberty and freedom of
expression. It about evens out.
Trade is along the lines of the world of the 70’s – the major corps
have plants in both zones rather than actually moving all that much product –
trade is raw materials, specialties too narrow to be worth a branch plant
(British racing cars), and luxuries (Rolls Royce, aged Scotch).
Much tech licensing, although Alliance restrictions on items deemed
In the interests of brevity (you may all giggle at once), I am not going to repeat every conclusion in Dark America followed by blacker, nastier, worse…Essentially except for most of the UK and part of Scandinavia (plus ever neutral Switzerland) the rest of Europe, India, China, Korea, Japan, much of the Sov Union, Southeast Asia and Africa bounded within the line roughly north of the Congo and Kenya is a charnel house out of Stirling’s Eurasian War. If you figure 100 each for Eurasia, China and India and 50 for the rest the world has had 350 Megadeaths with at least as many DP’s. Plus the whole postwar generation doesn’t get born in Asia and most of Eurasia. Its 1955-58 before enough men get demobilized to start families, and the social disruption is going to greatly retard the process. You are back to ox drawn plows across much of the world while another part goes to space. A pale remnant of liberal democracy lingers in the UK, Scandinavia, the Benelux and Switzerland. The rest of the world consists of a populist dictatorship (the US), its satellites (think the Greece of the colonels or El Salvador in the 80’s as the best of the lot and it goes rapidly downhill from there), and the Endless Night across the Eurasian Soviet Republics. Welcome to the Nightmare…