No Turkey for Christmas
circumstances that brought the Ottoman Empire into WW1 would be properly
regarded as farce in an AH. The
Ottomans had been caught between Britain and Germany, trusting neither power,
and trying to remain neutral. There
were factions that called for the Ottomans entering the war on one side or
another, but there was no firm decision until the British impounded two VERY
expensive and popular Turkish battleships.
The popular pressure in Turkey brought the pro-German faction into power
and Turkey declared war on Britain, France and Russia.
not have to be that way. A little
more sensitivity would have assisted the Turks to remain neutral or actively
joining the allies. Let’s have
Churchill propose a secret deal. Turkey
officially joins the allies. The
Turkish battleships will be crewed by Turks, trained by the British and operate
as part of the Grand Fleet. In
exchange, the British (with American support if they can get it) will publicly
guarantee the 1914 borders of the empire; provide investment and training for
the Ottoman army.
has major effects right from the start. The
Turks would either refuse to allow the Goeben transit though the
Dardanelles or intern the Battlecruiser. That
would probably lead to the Germans and Autrsians losing the battle for the
there will be no campaigns in Egypt or Iran.
The British will have extra forces to throw at the German colonies across
the globe, perhaps taking them all before the Japanese become involved or the
Germans have time to dig in. There
may also be a longer Balkan war as the Turks will actively support the Greeks
instead of providing a longer front for them to fight on.
This assumes, of course, that the British manage to keep the two historic
Germans will try to support Arab nationalism.
They would probably have many spies and agents still in the region as OTL
(unless the Turks manage to round them all up before they can go underground)
and would be free to raise as much hell as possible.
However, with the Turks hunting them (plus whatever the British send to
help) it is unlikely that they will make much headway.
this means, on a longer term, is that there will be far more allied divisions to
throw at the Germans on the eastern and western fronts.
The Germans will be even more outnumbered than OTL and they’ll have
lost most of their other advantages. This
might well lead to an earlier allied victory without the US becoming involved or
a negotiated peace in 1916, while the Germans have something left to bargain