the odder historical facts is that Stalin was quite eager to join Hitler’s
‘pact of steel’ with Italy and Japan. Hitler
rebuffed gentle enquires as he had already set his heart on taking ‘living
space’ in Russia. What if he had
not and Stalin had become Hitler’s military ally?
a reason for Hitler’s change of heart – or find him a reason to accept a
delay. Let’s assume that Petain
refuses the German terms for surrender in 1940 and sails to Algeria with the few
loyalist units had can ship out and the French Fleet.
Vichy is governed by a pro-German government. I am no expert in French politics, so let’s just say that
Petain becomes head of the Free French, with DeGualle as military leader.
Most of the French colonies would probably join the free French with the
possible exception of Indochina.
addition of the French troops and ships means that Italy will be defeated in
Libya before the Germans can become involved.
Sealion is even more impossible, so Hitler is forced to conclude that
Britain needs to be defeated first before going east. Therefore, he sends diplomatic enquires to Stalin, accepting
the soviet proposals for an alliance.
of a North African War, the Germans spend the summer of 1940 either conquering
or allying with the Balkan nations, laying supply lines through the Balkans,
while the Russians build up outside Iran. The
Russians take modern-day Moldova, convincing Romania, Greece and Yugoslavaia to
join the Germans. The British take
Crete from the Greeks.
Turks have been trying to stay out of the fighting, even when it’s coming
their way. The Germans and Russians
issue a joint ultimation, which the Turks reject – Russia was not very good in
Finland and the Germans have bad supply lines.
The two powers invade and, despite limited British assistance, Turkey is
there was a pro-German uprising in Iraq around this time.
Let’s have the Germans permit Rommel to launch an attack into Iraq
(from Turkey) to support the Iraqis and the soviets invade Iran.
The Iranians fight well, but the soviets out power them, while the
British are overstretched. French
rule in Syria collapses and the Germans push into Palestine.
Radical Arabs get the task of solving the Jewish problem.
British collapse in the Middle East tempts the soviets to try for India and
Afghanistan. Afghanistan is
brutally crushed, although bitter fighting continues, and north India falls.
The soviets very quickly make themselves unpopular, causing riots and
Muslim uprisings, which spread through the Muslim SSRs as well.
Japan is also tempted and starts to pressure the British in Hong Kong and
the other small British islands.
alarmed FDR slaps sanctions on the Japanese and sends what help he can to
British, short of war. The Japanese
seize Hong Kong, The Dutch East Indies and Indochina.
Britain, ironically, does not have a Singapore as there aren’t as many
soldiers available. America
declares war on Japan, Germany, Italy and the USSR.
are this pacific war follows the same path as OTLs, at least until Midway.
The Japanese knock out most of America’s possessions, bomb Australia
and threaten to invade Pearl Harbour. However,
the Japanese are very interested in invading Burma and India first, hoping to
seize more of the goodies before Germany or Russia gets them.
British authority over India collapses entirely.
strengthened with lend lease (more available as no support goes to Russia)
builds up in Egypt. The French
support resistance movements in France, but that’s limited as the French
communists are supporting the Germans and the Germans are stronger as there’s
no eastern front. Once the US
defeats the Japanese fleet in 1943, there is a combined allied landing in Arabia
and a war across the Arabian Peninsula. The
Germans have captured the Saudi royal family, but their authority collapses as
their armies evaporate and the Germans run out of supplies.
The British and Americans flush the Germans and Russians out of the
Arabian Peninsula and Palestine, but face powerful Russian forces in India and
Iran. India is collapsing into
anarchy as the Japanese grab all the supplies for themselves and there is mass
starvation. The Russians have
brutally crushed all resistance.
atomic program goes quicker in this TL and the Russians are further behind,
although they’re sharing what they get with the Germans.
The allies build up in Britain for an invasion of France, in early 1945,
as well as bombing German targets in the Balkans and Turkey.
Resistance movements are growing across Europe and the Ukraine.
use of an atomic weapon on Hamburg. (Allies
wanted Berlin, but the air defences are still strong.)
Hitler and the reminder of the nazi elite head east and push their own
work forward as allies land in France. Allies
get bogged down in Normandy, but grind forward step by step.
tries to switch sides after reading about the damage to Hamburg.
Hitler flies in reinforcements, occupies the country, seizes Italian
fleet. Allies attack Sicily and
Sardinia from North Africa (mainly British and French).
Japan firebombed constantly, but still not giving in.
Russians make plans to seize Japanese territory if Japanese fall.
Chieng and the ChiComms have made common cause, are pushing Japanese
hard, forcing them back to Manchuria. Japanese
cut off from Japan, dependent upon Russian generosity.
attack Norway and occupy Finland, rearming the Finns.
Stalin launches a second attack into Finland, but is defeated with very
high cost. Allies start airdropping
supplies into Poland, Ukraine, and Czechoslovakia. Resistance movements are costing the occupiers dear.
Second atomic bomb: Leningrad.
have completed their own bomb and are practicing with V2s. Germans launch aerial offensive at the Normandy pocket, force
the allied air forces back, then drop their bomb on the allied troops.
Normandy forces destroyed in the fighting.
Allies concentrate on increasing the air defences of Britain, Norway and
Finland – Stalin is demanding the bombing of Helsinki.
Germans launch a lighting invasion of Sweden, but get bogged down with
the Swedes and allied support.
have finally driven the Russians out of Iran.
Russian troops are undersupplied and ill equipped.
Muslim rebellions in the Caucasus make the supply situation impossible
– Russians defeated. Russians withdraw from India as best as they can, leaving
millions of dead Indians behind them. Indian
princes are attempting to set up their own states and seeking allied
recognition, allies airdrop supplies and leapfrog Japanese positions, allowing
the Indians to destroy them.
1945 general election – Churchill boosted by victory in Iran and endless war.
Labour discredited because of links to British communists and the fact
that the war is still on with no clear winner.
British Commonwealth is wavering: South Africa is reluctant to supply any
more troops; Australians need to garrison ex-Japanese islands, Canadians short
of men. British speed up their own
atomic project with help from America. British
are also developing rockets after capturing a number of unexploded V2s.
bombing is slowly chipping away at the German defences, but far too slowly.
Allies now have five atomic bombs without a target, Axis
(Germans/Russians/Japs) have two more German bombs.
Germans have been trying to penetrate the air defences of Britain, but so
far have failed.
threaten Franco with atomic attack unless he takes Gibraltar. Allies refuse to send support – Franco takes the fortress.
Allies send help to anti-Franco forces in Spain, occupy Morocco and
Spanish Islands. Spanish Civil War
restarts – Spain is soon a bloodbath.
Break here to give the situation. It
is now middle 1946. The Axis holds
Europe, Russia and Turkey. The
allies hold the Middle East, parts of India, Africa, America, Britain and the
Commonwealth. Pretty much of the
rest of the world is being fought over. Both
sides have atomic bombs.
Here’s the rest: The
allies are having severe manpower shortages.
They solve them by drafting almost everyone they can; black Americans,
Africans, Algerians, Indians and Arabs. The
Germans have converted the extermination camps into work camps and have enslaved
the Jews and Italians. Frenchmen
suspected of resistance activity are force-drafted into the camps as well.
German production is expanding rapidly and their technical levels are
higher than the allies. U-Boats are still making a nuisance of themselves in isolated
waters, although the allies have enough escort ships to make that very
sees this as a war of nerves and refuses to blink first.
Stalin is dependent upon German technology and sees the possibility of
realising historical Russian goals. Both
main axis partners are suspicious that the other is going to cut a deal with
their foes and leave the other one alone. Japan
is being firebombed into the ground – the main Japanese forces have evacuated
themselves to Manchuria along with their biological warfare equipment and the
royal family. The majority of the
Japanese people have been allowed to starve, as well as being infected with
disease, in hopes of ruining an allied invasion. Diseases are also sweeping across China, Indochina and
allies are exterminating Japanese remments as soon as they find them.
Indian forces are being used to locate and isolate Japanese units, which
are then bombed into submission. Every
Japanese island is being taken by brute force – Truk gets the first nuke
deployed against a Japanese target. Ho
Cho Minh has seized French equipment and is waging a greuala war with support
from the OSS. America has quietly agreed to recognise Ho as the legitimate
ruler of Indochina, with French support.
Free French are having problems in Algeria – they’re training Algerian
fighters who don’t have a stake in the French-dominated society.
Petain is prepared to allow them some voice, but insists on retaining
French dominance; so fighting has broken out in some places.
A particularly nasty incident occurs when a French private refuses to
salute an Algerian officer. The Libyans and Egyptians are also threatening to revolt,
although the British have made compromises that allow both sides to keep their
honour. Jews who have escaped
extermination in Palestine are taking a bloody revenge on the Arabs.
is looking for a silver bullet. He
thinks he’s found one by equipping a u-boat with a nuke and sending it to New
York. The city is destroyed in a
flash and America goes nuts with rage. Allied
atomic bombs are used against Bremen, Dresden, Rome and Archangel.
The Italians revolt again and the allies ship in support, tying down a
large German force. Hitler vows to fight on and equips two new u-boats with the
same weapon. A coup by the German
army is defeated after a close shave.
Americans storm ashore on Japan in 1947. They
find only a few million Japanese – disease, hunger and war have wiped out
nearly seventy percent of the population. Allies
send no help to the population, but at least they stop the bombing.
Japanese forces in Manchuria vow to fight on.
Chieng dies in an accident and the popular front dissolves in China. The British recover Hong Kong with a sneak attack, but soon
discover that it’s practically destroyed and depopulated.
– the rocket war. Germany is
bombing America with inaccurate rockets from Germany.
They’re trying to build one big enough to carry a nuke, but so far
they’ve failed. Britain is
bombing Germany with rockets as well, but it’s not a big success.
Italian revolts have been crushed, as have the Spanish resistance
fighters. Russian troops have moved
into Manchuria beside their Japanese allies and are occupying China to prevent
it being used as a base. Afghanistan
has been depopulated – refuges are fleeing from the Muslim SSRs to the Middle
East. Stalin is building up in North Russia to reinvade Finland.
launch an invasion of Turkey through Iraq.
Turkish resistance stalls German attempts at reinforcements, but the
allies have bad supply lines. The
invasion bogs down into a stalemate.
and Russians are battling it out in China.
Stilwell has pulled the Chinese into an alliance as reports of genocide
come in from the Russian-occupied areas. American
air power supports Chinese troops as they head north, exterminating Japanese and
Russian troops they encounter. Allied
medicine is bringing the epidemics under control, but china is staving.
Americans have managed to launch a manned spaceplane designed to pass over
Europe and take pictures. (Something
like the dynasoar). Germany is
starving as allies turn their bombers into firebombers and hit German farms.
Germans kill allied troops in captivity.
French, Italians and Balkans starving as Germans use them as slave labour.
invade France again, this time with bigger forces and atomic bombs.
Every large German base in the region is nuked – Rommel is killed after
failing to evacuate. Free French and British forces invade southern France and
split Spain away from Germany. Granada
is nuked and Franco given a choice between surrender or the systematic
destruction of Spain. He surrenders
to America and has his forces lay down their arms.
Many Spanish citizens take the opportunity to extract revenge for their
treatment – priests are a special target.
position is collapsing as their air defences weaken.
Berlin and the reminder of the German cities are nuked.
German factories slow their output as mass slaughter follows.
German hardcore retreats with their atomic weapons to Poland and their
Russian allies. Stalin makes peace
overtures, but refuses to surrender the German scientists, Poland or the
Ukraine. Turks launch massive
rebellion and defeat German occupiers, inviting the allies into turkey. Greece collapses and the Turks take the chance to seize
disputed islands. The Balkans
become a slaughterhouse as the Germans retreat, although Russians do try to
seize vital targets.
war willingness is gone. (Well,
mostly). The ordinary German
trooper is surrendering to the allies if he can.
The hardcore is in Russia and is co-operating with Stalin.
Russian troops occupy all of Poland as Berlin (what’s left of it)
falls. The Poles launch a rising
against Stalin, but are brutally slaughtered.
deploy atomic bombs against Finnish positions and invade. The American forces are defeated in the confusion and the
soviets seize most of Finland. The
Americans fall back to Sweden and keep fighting.
Italy has managed to break free of Germany, but is starving as well,
asking for aid. Allies send a
little support, but not much. The
British are exhausted. They’re
still fighting, but they don’t have much left.
Churchill is thinking about the end of the conflict as well; preparing
for the future.
Algerian war breaks out as the French reoccupy France.
The Algerians demand equal rights to Frenchmen in their own country, but
the French refuse. The fighting
starts bitterly and is far worse than OTL; the French have a bigger population
and they’re seeing it as a stab in the back.
The fighting is brutal and merciless – it rapidly spreads to the other
African colonies. The Congo becomes
a bloodbath. South Africa leaves
the war – occupies Rhodesia – invites white colonists to immigrate.
Australia also leaves the war, choosing to annex the East Indies and part
of Japan. Religious fighting
spreads to Saudi and Iraq.
surrenders once a suitable candidate for surrendering is found. Russia digs into Poland, refuses to budge and forces Poles
out into Germany. The allies attack
up from Turkey and into Poland, fighting a brutal war.
The soviets deploy their next bomb against the Turks – Sevastopol falls
to a British amphibious attack. The
British are feeding men who will fight for them and sending them into the
meatgrinder of the Russian/Turkish front. The
Turks have declared a Jihad against the godless communists and are recruiting
Muslims from India and Arabia. Baku
falls in 1950, pinching Russian oil supplies.
Americans and British had finally made a bomb that can go on a rocket.
Moscow, Stalingrad and Minsk are destroyed, fatally disrupting the
Russian system. As it collapses,
the Russian troopers tend to desert and go back to their farms.
Stalin is killed at Moscow. The
Ukraine raises in revolt. The
allies advance slowly to the ruins of Moscow, and then to the Urals, destroying
the Russian factories. Russia
collapses – Ukraine, Byelorussia, the Baltics and the Muslim SSRs claim their
independence. The Japanese in the
far east fight to the end and are finally crushed by the Chinese.
fighting tails off, the shape of the postwar world takes shape.
Care to guess what it looks like? Here
are my thoughts: